by Adam Hartung | Aug 4, 2010 | Current Affairs, In the Rapids, Innovation, Leadership, Lock-in, Web/Tech
Things are changing pretty fast in the “tech” world. PCs are losing market share to fast growing platforms like smartphones and tablets. New competitors are becoming a lot stronger as data and applications move from corporate servers and laptops/desktops to cloud computing. Erudite journal The Economist has declared “The End of Wintel.” It’s now considered a foregone conclusion by experts globally that how we interact with digital information is moving into a new era that will not be dominated by the old Microsoft Windows + Intel platform that practically monopolized the last 15 years.
So, what are you doing to prepare? Some people will choose to react when they are forced to. Unfortunately, that will allow faster moving competitors to gain an advantage. Those that adopt these new technologies will reach customers faster, and more accurately for their needs, than businesses that delay. It’ll be hard to compete blasting out ads on billboards, or even computer browsers, when your competition reaches out and tells a customer, on their cellphone using technology from a company like Foursquare that if they stop in – just around the corner – the customer can get a free product.
According to The Wall Street Journal this is already happening in “Getting Customers to ‘Check In’ with Foursquare.” All a customer has to do is offer a review on the mobile site, possibly bringing in one of their friends that is a block away. While you’re waiting for customers to read your ad (traditional media or internet), the competition might well have reached 100 new users!
The next option is to begin using the technology. And that would be a great start! Develop some future scenarios, figure out how to beat your competition, Disrupt your old spending and behavior patterns and set up a White Space team charged with figuring out how to update your Success Formula.
But the really big winners go even further. Take for example Amazon.com. This less than 20 year old company started as an on-line book retailer. They’ve gone a lot further, building a $44B revenue stream selling more than books. In fact, selling stuff for other people as well as themselves. But beyond that, Amazon is revolutionizing publishing by developing and selling the Kindle as a digital toolkit. As people go further along the trail of moving to mobile devices and the cloud, Kindle has begun offering a range of web services to host data and applications.
Source: Business Insider
Amazon will achieve $500M revenue this year in web services – after just 4 years of business. And could achieve $1B in a year or two! By participating aggressively in the marketplace, Amazon is creating significant revenue that other retailers – such as WalMart, Target, Home Depot or Sears – isn’t even touching. While this has nothing to do with what others might call Amazon’s “core business,” this will continue to build insight to the marketplace, allowing Amazon to further grow all aspects of its revenue! What could be more important than being knowledgeable about web services?
You may not think of yourself as an electronics firm, so you shy away from implementing computer-like hardware. But you shouldn’t think that way. Today mobile chips from ARM, and soon from Intel, will be so cheap you can include them in any item over $100. Soon any item over $20. How much better could you connect with your customers if the product you sold had the equivalent of a cheap smartphone installed? You could learn how your product is used very quickly, and develop new solutions before customers even think to ask for them!
Too often, as I wrote in my Forbes column (Stop Focusing on Your Core Business), we think about our “core business” in such a way that it keeps us from doing new things. As a result, less constrained competitors figure out how to provide more powerful solutions that are more profitable. Focusing on your “core” can keep you from doing the things that are most important for future growth!
The change in technology is not an “if” proposition. Just like we moved away from mainframes, and then minicomputers, eventually to PCs we are going toward a fully connected world of cheap hardware hooking into the cloud where everyone can access data and applications. How will you participate? You won’t be able to compete if you “opt out.” If you are a spectator you can expect the Amazon-like competitors to build a big leg-up. The winners will be those who really become players. And that means pushing your scenarios to really discuss what the year 2015 could bring, study how you can leapfrog competitors, and see how you can disrupt your approach – then implement with White Space teams – to be a big winner.
by Adam Hartung | Aug 2, 2010 | Current Affairs, In the Swamp, Innovation, Leadership, Web/Tech, Weblogs
Things are tough for the printed word these days. Not for writing, or demand for information. That is doing great – with more volume than ever! But the issue is “printed” material. Clearly, the format is changing. But are business leaders changing with it?
The Los Angeles Times reported “Amazon.com Says It’s Selling 80% More Downloaded Books Than Hardcovers.” This is a big switch. Clearly Kindles are making a big difference as people are buying a lot less paper, and reading a lot more bits. Do you remember when your colleagues all said “I want a book, I don’t want to read looking at a screen?” Do you remember when businesspeople actually printed their emails? Clearly a sentiment gone by the wayside.
Accuracy in Media reported “U.S. Newspaper Circulation Dropped 30% Since ’07.” And it’s a global phenomenon, with the U.K. down 25%, Greece 20%, Italy 18% and Canada 17%. Fully 2/3 of major countries are seeing newspaper demand decline. No wonder Tribune Corporation, publisher of The Chicago Tribune, Los Angeles Times and Baltimore Sun, as well as others, is having such a hard time emerging from bankruptcy. Every month this looks more like the buggy whip business. Can you really expect the company to survive?
Amidst this backdrop, magazines have a dire future. I can remember when browsing magazines was the norm, and trade magazines arrived in my inbox daily. Often 60 or 100 page affairs. No longer. Magazines have disappeared like rain in the Sahara. Their savior is supposedly to go digital, but according to TwistedImage.com magazine leaders are at a loss how to proceed. In “The Media Disruption Within” Mitch Joel describes how a panel of magazine publishers are approaching the industry change mostly with despair that the internet is here – and no concerted effort to define a new model. Lock-in was prevalent as they kept hoping for a return to the good old days for print publishers, which we know is never going to happen.
So today the New York Post reported “Mag Publishers, Apple in Subscription App Scrap.” Most of us can acquire newspapers for an iPad issue by issue – but subscriptions aren’t possible. The magazine fears it will be the big loser – and rightfully so. If Apple controls the subscription and delivery, why couldn’t it repackage? Where would Apple stop, and what value would the magazine actually deliver? Since iTunes changed music buying, how many people buy albums? It would require the editors and publishers be really sharp to know their market – something most gave up a long time ago when they turned to focusing on narrow content for their “core product” and trying to maintain their “core competency.” Neither of which are very “core” any more.
We all want news that’s exactly what we want, and we’ll simply go to Google to get it. Who published it isn’t nearly as important to readers any more. Nor is the packaging. Pretty soon Amazon via Kindle, Apple via iPad, and we can expect a Google tablet to do the same, can start packaging up the chapters of various books for readers giving them just what they want. And with that they can link off to source articles from newspapers and magazine archives – or to current events. The role of publisher will get a lot less clear, as writers and editors can go directly to the electronic distributor with content.
Into this fray is an interesting new approach reported by CNBC.com, “Rupert Murdoch’s New Digital Game Changer?” The claim is that News Corp. is preparing an all-new interactive product designed just for on-line and mobile users. It wouldn’t be a re-treaded newspaper. Text, photo and video designed just for the medium. Now that would be the right way to go about preparing for 2020. Unfortunately, the way News Corp. handled MySpace.com doesn’t give us a lot of comfort this will be a truly White Space project. But if it is, it might just be the start of toward the product which will be journalism in 2020.
If you’re in publishing you have no choice but to get White Space going. The intermediaries – from the tech companies to new-age publishers like HuffingtonPost.com – are moving forward. The business as it used to be is gone. But the demand for news – for content – is bigger than ever. It will require a new business model. A new Success Formula. And this is clearly a case of change or die. The world will never again be as it previously was.
Even if you don’t think of yourself as a publisher – you probably are. Do you put out customer literature – like user or repair manuals? Do you put out sales literature? Do you communicate with investors or industry analysts? If so, how do you “publish” your material? Paper? Packaged pdf? In today’s world, an advantage can be created by moving quickly to what’s new.
Today there are a plethora of luxury automobiles on the market. These beautifully high tech luxury machines have manuals that can run 500+ pages! It is impossible to figure out how anything works by trying the manual! Why don’t manufacturers of $60,000+ cars have a Kindle (or iPad) built into the console? Those cost less than a set of brake pads today, they can be updated automatically, and are interactive.
Are you thinking about how you could use a $100 device to make life easier for your customers and supply chain partners? Or are you printing? If you’re printing, what’s your budget? How much would you save if your salespeople, customers, etc. were given a Kindle? Or iPad? Can you afford not to be thinking differently about your future?
by Adam Hartung | Jul 31, 2010 | In the Rapids, Innovation, Leadership, Openness
I’m pleased today to post another guest blog – written by Charles Searight of Vector Growth Partners. Charles offers a great viewpoint on a common issue – how to balance the needs of running a good business with implementing innovation. I hope you enjoy his point of view as much as I do:
Efficiency is a good thing, taken in moderation. The same with focus. It is good management hygiene to pay
attention to what you’re doing and try to do it efficiently. This helps build a competitive cost
structure and a results-based culture. From an operations standpoint that means that the use
of an occasional stopwatch or its modern day equivalents in order to eliminate
wasted effort and speed workflows makes perfect sense. Frederick Taylor made the great
contribution in 1911 of helping companies recognize that labor is a
controllable cost that can be managed, but he taught that a narrow focus on the
optimization of each operation and repetition of the “best practice” was the
key to success. He missed the
point (among others) that it is really the improvement of the process as a
whole that changes the game. It took Toyota and Yamaha and other
Japanese companies to teach the world that lesson 70 years later – leading to
today’s six sigma, lean, and time compression concepts.
We find the same phenomenon happening with most companies today
– they are so focused on optimizing their operations and replicating “best
practices” that they have totally lost sight of the process as a whole. The pursuit (often obsession) of
operational excellence becomes an end unto itself and gets disconnected from
the mission of generating growth and creating value. The end game is not to get lean and agile, but rather to get
lean and agile so that you can compete more effectively – leveraging these
capabilities to go to market in innovative new ways, to compete in new markets,
and ultimately to create new markets.
Companies that stay locked-in to being the most efficient
company at making widgets quickly find that low cost widgets have become a
commodity and wonder how they suddenly got into trouble. Being an efficient widget maker gets them
into the game, but not for long. In
order to survive and thrive they must immediately begin planning new markets
for widgets, innovations that will replace widgets, parallel markets targeted
at widget users, new markets for widget-user data, markets unrelated to widgets
that have been identified in conversations with customers, and so on, because
there is always a competitor that will figure out how to make widgets just as
efficiently as they can and undercut their price.
The companies that generate the most value, like Apple in
recent years, are the ones who focus on trends and where the market will be,
not where it has been. They use their
operational excellence as a competitive weapon not as a marketing message or
something to put in the trophy case.
Instead of bragging about how agile they are, they just beat the
daylights out of would-be competitors by launching new products and creating
new businesses at a pace that leaves others in the dust. They do this by planning from the
future and focusing on new ways to leverage their capabilities (or build new
ones) to satisfy tomorrow’s unmet market needs – not by focusing on optimizing the
core competencies of yesterday and today.
They combine the yin of operational excellence with the yang of market
innovation.
Charles Searight is the Managing Partner of Vector Growth Partners headquartered in McClean, VA. His firm helps companies of all sizes and industries, public or privately held, and many with external funding from private equity pools, develop and implement growth strategies. Feel free to comment on Charles input right here, or contact him directly. If you could use help developing a growth plan you can contact Charles at [email protected]. Website www.VectorGrowth.com
If you enjoy ThePhoenixPrinciple.com and would like to submit a guest blog please contact me. I am very pleased to offer up the input of others who have insight or case studies you’d like share about innovation, strategy, growth, lock-in, defend & extend management, scenario planning, competitor analysis/insight, disruptions or white space!
by Adam Hartung | Jul 30, 2010 | Current Affairs, Defend & Extend, In the Swamp, Quotes, Web/Tech
This week Microsoft’s CEO Steve Ballmer said the company would get out a tablet soon, and that it would be a big success. Do you believe him? You have good reason to be doubtful. When it comes to new products, Microsoft has been a big dud under his leadership. But I’m not the only one complaining. Mediapost.com ran an article quoting some very well respected sources who are very, very skeptical. Below is part of the article. You can read the whole thing here:
“Of course that’s often the case with Microsoft,” notes Digital Daily.
“The problem is, it doesn’t always manage to do things really right.
Certainly, it didn’t manage it with Windows Vista. Or Windows Mobile. Or
Zune. Or, more recently, Kin. Who’s to say this time will be any
different?”
“As it stands now, Microsoft’s lack of details on
the upcoming Windows tablets is not encouraging, despite Ballmer’s
promises,” concludes PCWorld.
Seemingly overwhelmed by the rapid innovation and successes of rivals like Apple, Google, and even Facebook, Fortune
calls Ballmer “a train wreck,” and “a salesman whose only answer to
technological change seems to be the operating system he inherited from
Bill Gates.”
Thinking of Microsoft as an “innovator,”
however, will leave you disappointed every time, Jefferies analyst
Katherine Egbert wrote in a note Friday morning. “If you stop thinking
of Microsoft as an innovator and start thinking of them as a fast, low
cost, mass market follower, you’ll stop being disappointed in their
inability to divine new markets and realize they are staring at some of
their largest growth opportunities ever.”
Microsoft is too focused on its core business to do new things correctly. Long ago Mr. Ballmer took a Defend & Extend approach to the business. The company doesn’t do much scenario planning to determine how markets can be disrupted – in fact they hope the opposite. They do very little competitor analysis, because they view themselves as market dominant so beyond having to study competitors. They ignore fringe competitors – including upstarts like Apple and Google. Internal disruptions are verboten, and politics abound. And there is no white space where teams can violate old lock-ins to develop a new success formula that will compete better with the likes of Apple, Google and Cisco.
Focusing on your core can get any business in trouble (read Forbes article “Stop Focusing on Your Core Business” here). Even one with a near monopoly. Over time, all markets shift. When they do, the least prepared are the ones who think they “dominate” their industry. Maybe Mr. Ballmer should have lunch with Mr. Wagoner of GM to learn what happens when you take your industry position for granted.
by Adam Hartung | Jul 29, 2010 | Current Affairs, Defend & Extend
Be very, very good at what you do. Once that was the mantra for business success. In Search of Excellence sold millions of copies because it brought forward the idea that companies which excelled at identifying and delivering customer value sold more and made more money. Not bad advice at the time. And from that advice grew all kinds of recommendations to understand “core” customers, capabilities, technologies, costs, etc. – then benchmark your performance against competitors and do more so you remain #1. That thinking has been around for 30 years. Unfortunately, its far from enough to create success in 2010.
Motorola was once #1 in mobile phones. It had developed smartphones, but they were not part of the core product line. So Motorola did everything it could to keep selling Razrs.
Source: Silicon Alley Insider
When Apple introduced the iPhone Motorola was selling 35 miillion units/quarter. Three years later Apple is shipping more iPhones than Motorola is shipping all its phones. By creating a marketplace disruption Apple knocked Motorola out of first place in mobile phones. Motorola stuck to what it new best, and despite its great strengths in its traditional core competencies and markets saw revenues and profits plummet.
Nokia did a much better job of maintaining unit volume in handsets. But unfortunately it has had to drop prices dramatically to maintain volumes. Profits have evaporated, and nobody really cares much about what Nokia is doing any more – despite its huge handset volumes. The excitement, and profitability, is going to the smaller unit volume Apple. As a result, the market value of Nokia had dropped more than 50%, while the market value of Apple has exploded 200%!
Source: Silicon Alley Insider
Both Motorola and Nokia maintained a focus on their “core.” Core markets, products and competencies. Yet, they are now market inert. Motorola is in oblivion. And that’s the message in the Forbes article “Stop Focusing on Your Core Business.” We easily become obsessed with doing what we’ve historically done well better, faster and cheaper. So obsessed we miss market shifts. And that is deadly. Only those companies that can transition to new markets – and new competencies —- that can develop new “cores” by not being too closely tied to the old ones – have any hope of long term success.
PS – I bet you think your words are your greatest communication tool. Think again! In a great Forbes article “How To Win an Argument Without Words” Nick Morgan describes why body language can be more important than what you say! Overcome your lock-in to thinking what works in a meeting or presentation and pay attention to what really may make the difference!!
by Adam Hartung | Jul 27, 2010 | Current Affairs, Leadership, Web/Tech
Leadership
Stop Focusing On Your Core Business
It has become the fast track to oblivion.
“Where Have All the Flowers Gone” was a 1960s antiwar hit for Peter,
Paul and Mary. The “flowers” meant soldiers dying in Vietnam. These days we might be tempted to sing,
“Where Have All the Mighty Corporations Gone?”
That is the first paragraph to my latest column for Forbes magazine. A laundry list of notable failures the last few years is driving home the point that “focus on your core” is insufficient to even survive – much less thrive! And don’t blame “the government” for these failures – as all were related to management decisions intended to keep the company “on track.” Instead, these leadership teams “doubled down” on the old Success Formula until there just wasn’t any more juice left in that orange!
On the other hand, Apple demonstrates the value of seeking out new markets. “The iPad is Already Bigger than the iPod — and Half as Big as the Mac” is the Business Insider article.
Silicon Alley Insider 7-21-10
By distinctly not focusing on its core, and instead entering new markets, Apple — and Google as well — keep right on growing. Ignoring the “Great Recession.”
So is your business strategy intended to have you keep doing more of the same? Hoping if you do more, better, faster, cheaper things will return to the sales and profit growth of an earlier time? Or are you entering new markets, putting out new solutions that meet emerging market needs? Are you planning for a past era to return, or for the emerging future? Do you use scenarios, or historical trend lines? If you are hoping to be glorious by focusing on your core, give this Forbes article a read. You just may decide to change course.
by Adam Hartung | Jul 26, 2010 | Current Affairs, Defend & Extend, Food and Drink, In the Swamp, In the Whirlpool, Leadership, Web/Tech
“Blackberry’s Era May Be Ending” is the New York Times title on a Reuter’s story about the pioneering leader in smartphones. That RIM is in trouble is undoubtedly true – so much so it will not likely survive as a stand-alone company, if it survives at all! The company is in a growth stall, with U.S. market share in the first quarter dropping to 41% from 55% last year. Selling cheaply priced products outside the U.S. has masked the deep revenue problem developing at RIM – as the company tries to convince investors that it really isn’t falling way behind new competitors.
It was just April 8 when I published on this blog “Enterprise Customer Risk” in which I described how Blackberry’s ongoing focus on corporate customers allowed it to fall far behind in the applications development area ( see the 2 critical charts in previous blog showing the application weakness as well as market share problems). Now Apple has 30 TIMES the number of apps available on the Blackberry. On January 10 in “Winners and Losers from Shifts” this blog posted a chart showing how Apple hit 1 billion application downloads in its first 14 months of iPhone sales. Two weeks ago MediaPost.com reported “Android Hits 1 Billion Downloads.” Android now has about 100,000 apps, while Apple has about 225,000 apps. RIM doesn’t even have 10,000 apps.
RIM made a huge mistake. It focused on its core market of enterprise Blackberry customers. It tried to Defend its historical market share by focusing on its historical customers – and ignoring the smartphone non-user markets being developed by Apple (and now Google.) As a result it’s price/earnings multiple has fallen to 10 – amidst clear indications that RIM is unlikely to ever regain much growth as this growth stall continues.
We might like to think this sort of rapid problem creation is limited to technology companies. Unfortunately, not so. Crain’s Chicago Business today reports that “Kraft Foods Sees Slowdown in U.S. Cookie and Cracker Sales, Complicating CEO Rosenfeld’s Growth Agenda.” Kraft has had no measurable organic growth for over a decade, nor successful entries into new markets. The last year Kraft’s CEO demonstrated no commitment to organic growth by putting all her energy into the acquisition of Cadbury in order to expand Kraft’s “core” market position – dominated by Oreo, Chips Ahoy, Ritz Crackers and Wheat Thins. But now sales for the last quarter in the historical business are down 3.8%!
Kraft is another example of what happens when a company hits a growth stall. It may have a few up periods, but overall it is 93% likely to never again consistently grow at a mere 2%! Defend & Extend management uses obfuscation, like acquisitions, to hide underlying problems in the company’s ability to meet changing market needs. Resources are poured into price cutting promotions and advertising, looking only at the marginal cost and the initial sales, which props up the over-spending on worn out products in a worn-out Success Formula – and in Kraft’s case even these aren’t able to keep customers buying brands that are over 50 years aged. Ms. Rosenfeld will try to keep everyone’s attention on the top-line, hoping they forget that “growth” was manufactured by acquisition and that in fact both sales and margins are deteriorating in the “core” brands.
So, are you still trying to find your growth in this “Great Recession” by doing more of what you’ve always done – hoping customers will for some reason flock to your old way of doing business? That, quite frankly, has almost no hope of working. Customers are looking for new solutions every day. If you focus on protecting old markets, maybe by asking old customers what to do, you’ll miss the emergence of new markets where underserved customers are creating all the growth. If you don’t have plans to expand your business by 20% or more in new markets across the next 2 years you have more chance of burning up your resources than growing – and you might well end up like GM, FAO Schwarz or Sharper Image!
by Adam Hartung | Jul 23, 2010 | Current Affairs, Innovation, Leadership, Lock-in, Web/Tech
Are you prepared to implement tablets in your business? More specifically, how have you adjusted your hardware spending plans, your software purchase plans, your IT development plans, your field technology deployment plans and your staffing plans to spend less on servers and PCs while spending more on tablets? Unfortunately, far too many companies are stuck in their Microsoft/PC relationship – effectively waiting on their vendor to bring them a solution – something specifically CIO Magazine warns against in “You are Not Your Vendor.”
We’ve watched the unprecedented explosion in iPad adoption. in just a few months iPad sales have become as large as iPod – the product that turned around Apple’s fortunes.
Source: Silicon Alley Insider
Cisco has launched a tablet according to Channel Insider “Cisco Cius: The iPad Killer.” Hewlett Packard (HP) is launching a tablet using the WebOS operating system from its new acquisition Palm according to Channel Insider in “Microsoft – HP Tablet War.” As new tablets are launched without using Microsoft products the software giant increasingly looks like it’s missed the boat – even as Channel Insider offers up 10 ideas for how Microsoft could try to get in the game in “Windows 7 vs. Cisco Cius.”
So, have you started developing future scenarios – both business and technical – that incorporate using tablets? CIO Magazine recommends “Use Scenario Planning to Get Beyond Legacy Systems.” Have you started testing different tablets to learn how they can improve your business – and what the differences are between vendors? If you aren’t, then your legacy investment (and your legacy vendor) will keep you using old technology. If you’re stuck with PCs while others adopt the next wave you will find yourself wandering around in the Microsoft Lock-in – while the market moves rapidly in a different direction! While this may seem fine today, and cheaper than changing, what you risk is losing business to competitors who move quicker, adopting tablets and their applications to improve performance and lower cost.
by Adam Hartung | Jul 22, 2010 | Current Affairs, Lock-in, Web/Tech
“You are Not Your Vendor” is the title of my most recent column published in CIO magazine and Network World magazine. You’ll read in the article why it is critical you never rely too heavily on a vendor. As much as we’d like to say we’re “partners,” reality is that the vendor/customer relationship is adversarial. It’s up to everyone to constantly try new solutions, because lock-in to a vendor can cost you dearly when a competitor moves to a better solution that might be faster and/or cheaper. Your competitiveness relies not only on your adaptability, but that of those who supply you. This is extremely true in IT, where product lifecycles are often very short. But it’s true in all vendor relationships. It’s important all businesses overcome vendor Lock-in to avoid carrying too much legacy cost, and to continuously explore better solutions that can help you enhance – possibly redefine – your Success Formula.
Along this line, I thought it might be fun to list the top 10 Vendor Lies I’ve heard in my career – often ignored at great cost:
- Of course our application is 100% compatible with that
- That feature was in the demo, and will be available to you in just 3 weeks after purchase
- Our customer service people are some of our best trained engineers
- That problem only exists in the demo – it won’t happen in your installation
- Your installation will be on-time and on-budget
- We never point our finger at another vendor if you have a problem
- Working with an outsourcer is easier than doing the work yourself
- Our prices are firm, we never discount at end of quarter
- We can seamlessly integrate into your business – you’ll never see a glitch
- With our product strength, we’ll never go out of business
by Adam Hartung | Jul 21, 2010 | Current Affairs, Food and Drink, In the Rapids, Innovation, Leadership
“I Failed Fast and Completely Re-invented My Company” is the BNET.com article title. Pixability.com of Cambridge, Mass. started out as a video conversion and editing business for families. Unfortunately, it cost more than most families could afford. Lacking revenue, the entrepreneurs thought up making highlight reals for youth athletes competing for college scholarships. Neat idea, but only 3 sales in 3 months was less than covering costs. Despite the original plan, and a desire to raise more money, it hit the founders that if they “stuck to their core” business plan they weren’t going to survive. More money or not. That’s when they realized that turning down corporate work might not be such a great idea – even though such work wasn’t in the plan. Turning to what the market wanted, editing corporate videos, the company is now growing fast and making a profit.
Same song, different verse, for Blue Buddha Boutiques of Chicago as reported in “Small Businesses Have Flexibility to Make Big Changes” at The Chicago Tribune. The company started out making chain mail jewelry sold on the internet. Not much sales. But when the entrepreneur listened to customers she heard there was more demand for jewelry supplies – so customers could make their own jewelry – than for the finished product. A quick shift in the business, aligning it to market needs, and the company shot up to a half million dollars revenue.
Far too often entrepreneurs hear “find your passion, and go with it.” “Write a business plan, stick with it, persevere, fight for success.” “Do what you’re good at.” Of course, most entrepreneurs fail. Why, because this is such lousy advice. Nobody cares about your passion, nor your plan, or your ability to persevere. Customers care about you selling them what they want. If your products or services don’t align with market needs, all the passion, business planning, fighting and perseverance isn’t worth spit.
Of course, this flies in the face of “Built to Last” author Jim Collins. To him, all winners are those who persevere. Looking backward, he can say entrepreneurs he studied were passionate and hard working. Maybe they wore white shirts, and enjoyed Juicy Fruit gum as well. The point is, that isn’t what made them successful – even if their personality traits were as he described. What’s important is that you find a market with growth, and more customers than suppliers, so you can readily sell something at a profit. Adaptability is the hallmark of great entrepreneurs. They have no product or service religion – no commitment to “excellence” – no predefined notions of how to succeed in business. Rather, they have a keen ear for the marketplace and the mental flexibility to rapidly shift into what customers want!
I beg you to be careful about listening to gurus – and especially Jim Collins. I was appalled by his column “Tuned in to four New Realities” published on Leadership Academy. Still unable to explain why companies he glorified in “Good to Great” such as Circuit City, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae were such horrible failures – he tenaciously sticks to his guns. To him, all leaders must persevere. His new realities:
- “Define your business according to core values”. Values are great, but if they aren’t somehow intricately linked to delivering a product or service the market wants, and wants in enough demand to produce a profit, it doesn’t matter. Simple. I don’t say give up your soul. But values are not where you start. You must be flexible to align with the market. If your values won’t let you do that you need to do something else.
- “Organize by freedom of choice.” Honestly, how you organize should relate to meeting the market requirements. Whether its hierarchical or matrix or some other form – it must meet the critical market needs. Freedom is great – as long as it supports meeting the market need. You are free in America to do whatever you want, but if you don’t sell enough stuff at a high enough price you don’t eat. And for all its benefits, “freedom of choice” in the workplace is less important than positive cash flow.
- “Lead without using power.” Whether you use carrot or stick, people have to deliver what markets want. And companies have to adapt quickly to shifting wants. Sometimes it happens naturally, and leaders can just guide the process. Sometimes Lock-in to old assumptions get in the way, and then leaders have to get out a 2×4 and redirect attention to where the market wants it. It’s good to be kind and a servant-leader, but employees appreciate a good paying job with some clear guidance (at times dictatorial) to unemployment from “such a nice guy.”
- “Walls are dissolving.” I haven’t even figured out what this one means. But it’s clear that any walls which keep you from seeing the real market need is a bad thing. After that, aligning to market needs is “job #1” as Ford ads once touted quality.
Are you flexible to go where the market leads you? Or are you adamant about doing what you want to do? Are values something you use to help align to market needs, or a crutch you use to defend doing what you’ve always done? Are you able to change your management style, and organizational design, to meet market needs – or do you prefer to remain Locked-in to old management ideas and business models? Whether your company is big or small, old or young, does not matter. Lock-in will kill you when markets shift. Whether it’s structural Lock-in to an existing business, or mental Lock-in to a business plan. Adaptability to meet shifting market needs separates the winners – like Apple, Google, Facebook and Twitter – from the market losers – like Microsoft and Dell.
If you have any doubt, just ask the folks at Tasty Catering in Chicago. While others are still complaining about he recession, crying about lower sales, and food service businesses (including restaurants) are half full or closing shop — the folks at Tasty Catering are challenging the monthly revenues they set in peak years of 2007 and 2008. Instead of doing what they always did, the leaders – from the CEO to the 20-something managers talking to customers – are listening to the market and opening new businesses that meet market needs. While most employers are cutting staff, employees at Tasty Catering are working overtime – and in some businesses second shifts are being added. What was once a hot dog stand has been turned by the leaders into the winner of Best Caterer in the USA more than once – and a business that is thriving even in this “Great Recession.” Because they know how to adapt.
PS – Tasty Catering is one of the most value-responsible companies in America. Filled with employees that listen and care, and managers that want their employees to succeed. That’s because the leaders don’t see a trade-off between values and giving the market what it wants. If they keep the business moving forward, through keen connection to the marketplace, everyone wins – and values are not an issue. By being market-savvy, and flexible, Tasty Catering is considered one of the Top 10 employers in Chicago, and in its industry. And if you cater from anybody else in Chicago, or buy your delivered baskets or trays of cookies and muffins from anyone else, you simply don’t know what you’re missing!
