Apple is Simply Better Managed than Microsoft


Most folks know that Apple is now worth more than Microsoft.  Although few realize the huge difference.  After years of dominating as the premier “PC” company, Microsoft is now worth only about 2/3 the value of Apple – $224B versus $310B this week (or, said differently, Apple is worth about 50% more than Microsoft.)  Apple’s run by Microsoft the last year has been like a rock out of a slingshot.  But that’s largely because Apple grew revenues almost 50% in fiscal 2009 and 2010, while Microsoft saw revenue decline 3% in 2009, and only grow 7% in 2010, putting revenues up a net 3% over the 2 years. 

What few realize is how much Microsoft spent trying to grow, but failed.  A look at 2009 R&D expenditures showed Microsoft outspent all tech competitors in its class – spending 8 times what Apple spent! RD cost MSFT and others 2009 Source:  Silicone Alley Insider Chart of the Day from BusinessInsider.com

What did customers and investors receive for this whopping Microsoft spend? An updated operating system and set of office automation tools to run on existing products.  Nothing that created new demand, or incremental sales.  On the other hand, for its much lower spending Apple gave investors upgrades to iPods, the iPhone and the operating system for the later released iPad. 

Simply put, Microsoft opened the check book and spent like crazy in its effort to defend its historical PC products business.  And the cost was more than just dollars.  That “focus” cost Microsoft its position in other growth markets; like smartphones.   Few recall that as recently as 2008 Microsoft was the leading smartphone platform: Smartphone platform share 1.10

In order to defend its “core” business, Microsoft under-invested in smartphones and over-invested in its historical personal computing products.  Now, PC growth has stalled as people are switching to new products based on cloud computing – like smartphones and tablets. 

Apple is cleaning up with its investments, while Microsoft is hoping it can catch up by enticing its former executive, now the CEO at Nokia, to revamp their line using the Windows Phone 7 operating system.  Good luck, because the market is already way, way out front with Apple and Android products

Number smartphone apps by competitor 3.2011

That was the past.  What we’d like to know is whether Apple will keep growing like crazy, and whether Microsoft will do what’s necessary to grow as well.  And that’s where some recent announcements point out that Apple, quite simply, is better managed.  So it will grow, and Microsoft won’t.

ZDNet reported on the “changing of the guard” at Apple in March.  Due to its different investment approach, iOS is now bigger than the MacOS at Apple.  The “legacy” product – that made Apple into a famous company in the 1980s – has been eclipsed by the new product.  And the old technology leader is graciously moving on to do research in a scientific community, while Apple pours its resources into developing products for the future. 

Don’t forget, the Lisa was a product that Steve Jobs personally took to market – yet didn’t succeed.  He personally remained involved, converting Lisa into the wildly successful 1980s Mac (see AOL Small Business story on history of Lisa and Mac.)  You gotta love it when that CEO, and his leadership team and all the managers, can transition their loyalty and put resources into the future product line in order to keep growing!  MacOS is not dead, nor is it going to be devoid of resources.  But the future of Apple lies in growing the new platform, and that is where the best talent and dollars are being spent.

Comparatively, Microsoft announced this week it was changing its Chief Marketing Officer (SeattlePI.com.)  And, not surprisingly, they did NOT select someone with smartphone, tablet or even gaming expertise for the role.  Instead of identifying a leader who is deep into understanding the growth markets, Microsoft appointed as the next CMO the fellow who had been responsible for selling – wait – guess – Office, Sharepoint, Exchange and the other historical, legacy Microsoft products.  Those products which have had no growth – only maintenance sales.  Instead of reaching into the future for its leadership, CEO Ballmer once again reached into the past.

If you ever wonder why Apple is worth so much more to investors than Microsoft, just think about this moment in the marketplace.  Apple is investing its best talent and resources into new products in new markets that are demonstrating growth.  Microsoft, struggling with its growth, keeps placing “old guard” leaders into top positions, attempting to defend the historical business – hoping to recapture the old glory. 

Too bad the market has already shifted and doesn’t care what Microsoft thinks.

When it comes to networking, cloud computing and the future of how we all are going to be productive Microsoft just isn’t in the game.  And its attempt to have a fast falling Nokia save it by distributing second rate mobile products that are late to market while iPhones and Androids keep extending their lead won’t make Microsoft great again. Especially when the leadership keeps wanting, in its heart, to sell more PCs.

Apple is just better managed, because it keeps looking to the future, while Microsoft simply can’t seem to get over its past.  Good thing Steve Ballmer is already rich.  Too bad all the Microsoft employees aren’t.

Nokia’s Microsoft Blunder is Apple’s Win


Summary:

  • Nokia agreed to develop smartphones with Microsoft software
  • But Microsoft’s product is without users, developers or apps
  • Apple and Google Android dominate developers, app base and users
  • Apple and Google Android have extensive distribution, and customer acceptance
  • Microsoft brings Nokia very little
  • Nokia hopes it can succeed simply by ramming Microsoft product through distribution.  This will be no more successful than its efforts with Symbian
  • Apple is the winner, because Nokia didn’t select Google Android

For First Time Ever, Smartphones Outsell PCs in Q4 of 2010” headlined BGR.com.   This is a big deal, as it creates something of an inflection point – possibly what some would call a “tipping point” – in the digital technology market.  For over 2 years some of us, using IDC data such as reported in ReadWriteWeb, have been predicting that PCs are on the way to extinction – much like mainframes and mini-computers went.  Smartphone sales last quarter jumped 87.2% year-over-year to about 101M units.  Meanwhile PC sales, a market manufacturers hoped would recover as “enterprises” resumed buying post-recession, grew only 5.5% in the like period, to 92.1M units.  No doubt the installed base of the latter product is multiples of the former, but we can see that increasingly people are ready to use the newer, alternative technology.

This week Mediapost.com reported “Tablet Sales to Hit 242M by 2015.” Both NPD Group and iSuppli are projecting a 10-fold increase wtihin 5 years in the volume of these new devices, which is sure to devastate PC sales. Between smartphones and tablets, as well as the rapid development of cloud-based apps and data storage solutions, it’s becoming quite clear that the life-span of PC technology has its limits.  Soon we’ll be able to do more, cheaper, better and faster with these new products than we ever could on a PC.

This is really bad news for Microsoft.  Apple and Google dominate both these mobile markets.  As Microsoft has fought to defend its PC business by re-investing in Vista, then Windows 7 and Office 2010, the market has been shifting away from the PC platform entirely.  It’s common now to hear about corporations considering iPads and other tablets for field workers.  And it’s impossible to walk through an airport, or sit in a meeting these days without seeing people use their smartphones and tablets, purchased individually at retail, while leaving their PCs at the office.  Most corporate Blackberry users now have either an Apple or Android smartphone or tablet as they eschew their RIM product for anything other than required corporate uses.

Nokia has largely missed the smartphone market, choosing, like Microsoft, to continue investing in defending its traditional business.  Long the largest cell phone supplier, Nokia did not develop the application base or developer network for Symbian (it’s proprietary smartphone technology) as it kept pumping out older devices.  Nokia is reminiscent of the Ed Zander led Motorola disaster, where the company kept pumping out Razr phones until demand collapsed, nearly killing the company.

So the Board replaced the Nokia CEO. As discussed in Forbes on 5 October, 2010 in “HP and Nokia’s Bad CEO Selections” Nokia put in place a Microsoft executive.  Given that Microsoft had missed the smartphone market entirely, as well as the tablet market, moving the Microsoft Defend & Extend way of thinking into Nokia didn’t look like it would bring much help for the equally locked-in Nokia. Exchanging one defensive management approach for another doesn’t create an offense – or new products.

It wasn’t much of a surprise last week when the 5-month tenured CEO, Stephen Elop, announced he thought Nokia’s business was in horrible shape via an internal email as reported in the Wall Street Journal, “Nokia, Microsoft Talk Cellphones.” Rather quickly, a deal was struck in which Nokia would not only pick up the Microsoft mobile operating system, but would use their products to promote other extremely poorly performing Microsoft products. “Nokia to Adopt Microsoft Bing, Adcenter” was another headline at MediaPost.com.  Bing and adCenter were very late to market, and even with adoption by early market leader Yahoo! have been unable to make much inroad into the search and on-line ad placement markets dominated by Google.

Mr Elop went with what he knew, selecting Microsoft.  I guess he’s the new “chief decider” at Nokia.  His decision caused a break out of optimism amongst long-suffering Microsoft investors and customers who’ve gotten very little from the giant PC near-monopolist the last decade.  Mediapost told us “Study: Surge of Support for Windows Phone 7” as developers who long ignored the product entirely were starting to consider writing apps for the device.  After all this time, new hope beats within the breast of those still stuck on Microsoft.

But if ever there was a case of too little, and way, way too late, this has to be it.  Two companies long known for weak product innovation, and success driven by market domination and distribution control strategies, are partnering to take on the two most innovative companies in digital technology as they create entirely new markets with new technologies. 

RIM, the smartphone market originator, has seen its fortunes disintegrate as Blackberry sales fell below iPhones – even with over 10,000 apps.  Today Microsoft has virtually NO apps, and NO developer base as it just now enters this market, “Google Searches for Mobile App Experts” (Wall Street Journal) as its effort continues to expand its 100,000+ apps base as it chases the 350,000+ apps already existing for the iPhone.  Where Microsoft and Nokia hope to build an app base, and a user base, Apple and Google already have both, which theyt are aggressively growing. 

Exactly what going to happen to slow Apple and Google’s growth in order to allow Microsoft + Nokia to catch up?  In what fairy tale will the early hare take a nap so the awakened tortoise will be allowed to somehow, miraculously get back into the race?

Being late to market is never good.  Look at how Sony, and everyone else, were late to digitally downloaded music. iPad and iTunes not only took off but continue to hold well over 50% of the market almost a decade later.   Over the same decade Apple has held onto 2/3 of the download video market, while Microsoft’s Zune has struggled to capture less than 1/4 of Apple’s share (about 18% according to WinRumors.com). 

Apple (and Google) aren’t going to slow down the pace of innovation to give Microsoft and Nokia a chance to catch up.  Today (15 Feb., 2010) ITProPortal.com breaks news “Apple iPhone 5 to have 4 Inch Screen,” an upgrade designed to bring yet more users to its mobile device platform – away from PCs and competitive smarphones.  The same article discusses how Google Android manufacturers are bringing out 4.3 inch screens in their effort to keep growing.

So, amidst the “big announcement” of Microsoft and Nokia agreeing to work together on a new platform, where’s the product announcement?  Where’s the app base?  And exactly what is the strategy to be competitive in 2012 and 2015?  Does anyone really think throwing money at this will create the products (hardware and software) fast enough to let either catch up with existing leaders?  Does anyone think Microsoft products dependent upon Nokia’s distribution can save either’s mobile business – while Apple has just expanded to Verizon for distribution?  And Google is already on almost all networks?  And where is Microsoft or Nokia in the tablet business, which is closely associated with smartphone market for obvious issues of mobility and use of cloud-based computing architectures?

The good news here is for Apple fans.  Nokia clearly should have chosen Android.  This would give the laggard a chance of leveraging the base of technology at Google – including advances being made to the Chrome operating system and its advantages for the cloud.  No matter what the price, it’s the only chance Nokia has.  With this decision the most likely outcome is big investments by both Microsoft and Nokia to play catch-up, but limited success.  Results will not likely cover investment rates, leading Nokia to a Motorola-like outcome.  And Microsoft will remain a bit player in the fastest growing digital markets. Both have billions of dollars to throw away in this desperate effort.  But the outcome is almost certain.  It’s doubtful between the two of them they can buy enough developers, network agreements and users to succeed against the 2 growth leaders and the desperately defensive RIM.

Like I said last month in this blog “Buy Apple, Sell Microsoft.”  It’s still the easiest money-making trade of 2011.  Now thankfully reinforced by the former Microsoft exec running Nokia.

Everything Old is New Again: Oracle’s Microsoft Strategy


Today’s guest blog is provided by Mike Meikle, hope you enjoy:

Summary

  • Oracle is at the top of the heap in the Traditional Software market.
  • Traditional Software market is deflating with $7 billion less profit than 2009
  • Software as a Service, a component of Cloud Computing, has a forecasted 26% annual growth rate over the next five years.
  • Oracle Cloud Computing strategy is muddled with bi-polar corporate marketing and platform dependency.
  • Customers feel trapped with Oracle and are looking for alternatives.
  • Oracle is  trapped in a classic Defend and Extend situation.
  • Oracle seems to be following Microsoft in using 1990’s corporate strategy in 2011.

Throughout the 1990’s Microsoft held the dominant position in software.  Firmly ensconced in Corporate and Consumer arenas, Microsoft generated enormous profits.  With an overflowing war chest, MSFT aggressively quashed or bought out the competition – which eventually attracted the attention of the United States Justice Department.  

After a little less than 10 years, Microsoft now fights to stay relevant as multiple challengers have exposed gaping holes in its armor.  The tech giant’s senior leadership appears rudderless as product lines fail to get off the mark (Windows Phone 7) or flounder (Vista).

With this in mind let us turn toward Oracle.  Long viewed as the top Database Management System (DBMS) for the corporate world, its database software underpins much of the global information economy.  It has a large war chest stuffed with the profits created by costly traditional software licensing deals with locked-in customers.  It has used that cash to acquire new lines of business (PeopleSoft, Sun) and competitors (ATG, MySQL).

However there are some dark clouds on the horizon.  The advent of Cloud Computing is a threat to its current licensing model.  How will Oracle adapt to corporations implementing virtual servers and databases in the Cloud?  Traditional software licensing is down $7 billion industry-wide from 2009.  Meanwhile “software as a service” (SaaS) is seeing explosive growth, with a forecasted 26% annual growth rate over the next five years as a natural component of Cloud Computing.

Oracle has made some efforts to delve into the Cloud Computing fray with the Oracle Exalogic Elastic Cloud, or “Cloud-In-a-Box”, leveraging their SUN and ATG acquisitions.  However this arrives several years behind the Amazon, Google, and Microsoft triumvirate of Cloud Computing products.  Oracle’s Cloud offering will also have to overcome Oracle’s own negative statements about Cloud Computing.  CEO Larry Ellison called Cloud Computing “complete gibberish” in late 2008.

Oracle also has problems with its customers.  Chafing under the steep licensing costs and sub-standard support, nearly half are looking to shift to lower cost alternatives as they become available.  Many have felt trapped by lack of suitable replacements.  MySQL was one such competitor, but with Oracle purchasing SUN and getting MySQL in the bargain, that option disappeared.  So customers have continued to (reluctantly) fork over licensing and maintenance fees to Oracle, creating the bulk of the organization’s profit stream.  

Sound familiar?

Also, the champions of Oracle software offerings, developers, are dissatisfied with the company.  The founders of MySQL and the creator of Java, now key software offerings of Oracle, have jumped ship as a result of disagreements with Oracle’s corporate direction.

Now Oracle finds itself in is a classic Defend & Extend situation.  Nearly all their profits rely on historical licensing and maintenance for traditional software, a market that is rapidly shrinking.  Current customers are unhappy with cost and service; hungry for alternatives and ready to embrace new solutions.  But Oracle has arrived late and timidly to the Cloud Computing maketplace, attempting to leverage recently acquired assets where key personnel have left (and taking who knows how much vital market and product knowledge.)   Not only will Oracle have to struggle to differentiate itself from other Cloud offerings going forward, it will have to incorporate their newly acquired assets (including technologies) into a cohesive offering while trying to ramp up top notch service.

Oracle will have to break out of the “consistency trap” if it is to drive profits toward new growth.  New services that provide value to the customer will have to be developed and aggressively marketed. To grow future revenue and profits Oracle cannot rely on shoehorning customers into poorly fitting licensing and support models based on the fading market of yesteryear.

Or Oracle could choose to not change its old Success Formula.  For advice on that approach Oracle’s Mr. Ellison talk to Microsoft’s Mr. Ballmer to see how well his 1990’s corporate strategy is working as Microsoft stumbles into 2011.

Thanks Mike!  Mike Meikle shares his insights at “Musings of a Corporate Consigliere(http://mikemeikle.wordpress.com/). I hope you read more of his thoughts on innovation and corporate change at his blog site.  I thank Mike for contributing this blog for readers of The Phoenix Principle today, and hope you’ve enjoyed his contribution to the discussion about innovation, strategy and market shifts.

If you would like to contribute a guest blog please send me an email.  I’d be pleased to pass along additional viewpoints on wide ranging topics.

Getting Rich vs. Getting Lost – Smartphones – Google & Apple vs. RIM, Nokia, Samsung, Microsoft


Summary:

  • Most planning systems rely on extending past performance to predict the future
  • But markets are shifting too fast, making such forecasts wildly unreliable
  • To compete effectively, companies must anticipate future market shifts
  • Planning needs to incorporate a lot more scenario development, and competitor information in order to overcome biases to existing customers and historical products
  • Apple and Google have taken over the mobile phone business, while the original leaders have fallen far behind
  • Historical mobile phone leaders Nokia, Samsung, Motorola, RIM and Microsoft had the technologies and products to remain leaders, but they lacked scenarios of the future enticing them to develop new markets.  Thus they allowed new competitors to overtake them
  • Lacking scenarios and deep competitor understanding, companies react to market events – which is slow, costly and ineffective.

Apple, Android Help Smartphone Sales Double Over Last Year” is the Los Angeles Times headline.  Google-supplied Android phones jumped from 3% of the market to 26% versus the same quarter last year.  iPhones remained at 17% of the market.  Blackberry is now just under 15%, compared to about 21% last year.  What’s clear is people are no longer buying traditional mobile phones, as #1 Nokia share fell from 38% to 27%.  Like many market changes, the shift has come fast – in only a matter of a few months.  And it has been dramatic, as companies not even in the market 5 years ago are now the leaders. Former leaders are struggling to stay in the game as the market shifts.

The lesson Google and Apple are teaching us is that companies must have a good idea of the future, and then send their product development and marketing in that direction.  Although traditional cell phone manufacturers, such as Motorola and Samsung, had smartphone technology many years prior to Apple, they were so focused on their traditional markets they failed to look into the future.  Busy selling to existing customers an existing technology, they didn’t develop scenarios about 2010 and beyond that would describe how the market could expand – far beyond where traditional phone sales would take it.  Both famously said “so what” to the new technology, and used existing customer focus groups of people who had no idea the potential benefit of a smart phone to justify their willingness to remain fixated on the existing business.  Lacking a forward planning process based on scenario development, and lacking a good market sensing system that would pick up on the early market shift as novice competitor Apple started to really change the market, these companies are now falling rapidly to the wayside. 

Even smartphone pioneer Research in Motion (RIM) was so focused on meeting the needs of its existing “enterprise” customers that it failed to develop scenarios about how to expand the smartphone business into the hands of everyone.  RIM missed the value of mobile apps, and the opportunity to build an enormous app database.  Now RIM has been surpassed, and is showing no signs of providing effective competition for the market leaders.  While the Apple and Android app base continues to explode, based upon 3rd and 4th generation product inducing more developers to sign up, and more customers to buy in, RIM has not effectively built a developer base or app set – causing it to fall further behind quarter by quarter.

Even software giant Microsoft missed the market.  Fixated upon putting out an updated operating system for personal computers (Vista then later Windows 7) it let its 45% market share in smart phones circa 2007 disappear.  Now approaching 2011 Microsoft has largely missed the market.  Again, focused clearly upon its primary goal of defending its existing business in O/S and office automation software, Microsoft did not have a forward focused planning group that was able to warn the company that its new products might well arrive in a market that was stagnating, and on the precipice of a likely decline, because of new technology which could make the PC platform obsolete (a combination of smart mobile devices and cloud computing architecture.)  Microsoft’s product development was being driven by its historical products, and market position, rather than an understanding of future markets and how it should develop for them.

We can see this lack of future scenario development and close competitor tracking has confused Microsoft.  Desperately trying to recover from a market stall in 2009 when revenues and profits fell, Microsoft has no idea what to do in the rapidly expanding smartphone market today.  Its first product, Kin, was dropped only two months after launch, which industry analysts saw as necessary given the product’s lack of advantages.  But now Mediapost.com informs us in “Return of the Kin?” Microsoft is considering a re-launch in order to clear out old inventory.

This amidst a launch of the Windows Phone 7 that has gone nowhere.  Firstly, there was insufficient advertising to gain any public awareness of the product launch earlier in November (Mediapost “Where’s the Windows Phone 7 Ad Barrage?“)  Initial sales have gone nowhere “Windows Phone 7 Lands Without a Sound” [Mediapost], with many stores lacking inventory, very few promoting the product and Microsoft keeping surprisingly mum about initial sales. This has raised the question “Is Windows Phone 7 Dead On Arrival?” [Mediapost] as sales barely achieving 40,000 initial unit sales at launch, compared to daily sales of 200,000 Android phones and 270,000 iphones! 

Companies, like Apple and Google, that have clear views of the future, based upon careful analysis of what can be done and tracking market trends, create scenarios that allow them to break out of the pack.  Scenario development helps them to understand what the future can be like, and drive their product development toward creating new markets with more customers, more unit sales, higher revenues and improved cash flow.  By studying early competitors, especially fringe ones, they create new products which are more highly desired, breaking them out of price competition (remember the Motorola Razr fiasco that nearly bankrupted the company?) and into higher price points and better earnings. Creating and updating future scenarios becomes central to planning – using scenarios to guide investments rather than merely projections based upon past performance.

Companies that base future planning on historical trends find themselves rapidly in trouble.  Market shifts leave them struggling to compete, as customers quickly move to new solutions (old fashioned notions of “exit costs” are now dead).  Instead of heading for the money, they are confused – lost in a sea of options but with no clear direction.  Nokia, Samsung, RIM and Microsoft all have lots of resources, and great historical experience in the market.  But lacking good scenario planning they are lost.  Unable to chart a course forward, reacting to market leaders, and hoping customers will seek them out because they were once great. 

Far too many companies do their planning off of past projections.  One could say “planning by looking in the rear view mirror.” In a dynamic, global world this is not sufficient.  When monster companies like these can be upset so fast, by someone they didn’t even think of as a traditional competitor (someone likely not even on the radar screen recently) how vulnerable is your company?  Do you plan on 2015 looking like 2005?  If not, how can future projections based on past actuals be valuable?  it’s time more companies change their approach to planning to put an emphasis on scenario development with more competitive (rather than existing customer) input.  That’s the only way to get rich, instead of getting lost.

 

 

When Should Steve Ballmer Be Fired? – Microsoft


Summary:

  • Steve Ballmer received only half his maximum bonus for last year
  • But Microsoft has failed at almost every new product initiative the last several years
  • Microsoft's R&D costs are wildly out of control, and yielding little new revenue
  • Microsoft is lagging in all new growth markets – without competitive products
  • Microsoft's efforts at developing new markets have created enormous losses
  • Cloud computing could obsolete Microsoft's "core" products
  • Why didn't the Board fire Mr. Ballmer?

Reports are out, including at AppleInsider.com that "Failures in Mobile Space Cost Steve Ballmer Half his Bonus." Apparently the Board has been disappointed that under Mr. Ballmer's leadership Microsoft has missed the move to high growth markets for smartphones and tablets.  Product failures, like Kin, have not made them too happy. But the more critical question is — why didn't the Board fire Mr. Ballmer?

A decade ago Microsoft was the undisputed king of personal software. Its near monopoly on operating systems and office automation software assured it a high cash flow.  But over the last 10 years, Microsoft has done nothing for its shareholders or customers.  The XBox has been a yawn, far from breaking even on the massive investments.  All computer users have received for massive R&D investments are Vista, Windows 7 and Office 2007 followed by Office 2010 — the definition of technology "yawners."  None of the new products have created new demand for Microsoft, brought in any new customers or expanded revenue.  Meanwhile, the 45% market share Microsoft had in smartphones has shrunk to single digits, at best, as Apple and Google are cleaning up the marketplace.  Early editions of tablets were dropped, and developers such as HP have abandoned Microsoft projects. 

Yet, other tech companies have done quite well.  Even though Apple was 45 days from bankruptcy in 2000, and Google was a fledgling young company, both Apple and Google have launched new products in smartphones, mobile computing and entertainment.  And Apple has sold over 4 million tablets already in 2010 – while investors and customers wait for Microsoft to maybe get one to market in 2011.

Despite its market domination, Microsoft's revenues have gone nowhere.  And are projected to continue going relatively nowhere.  While Apple has developed new growth markets, Microsoft has invested in defending its historical revenue base. 

MSFT vs AAPL revenue forecast 4.10
Source:  SeekingAlpha.com

Yet, Microsoft spent 8 times as much on R&D in 2009 to accomplish this much lower revenue growth.  At a recent conference Mr. Ballmer admitted he thought as much as 200 man years of effort was wasted on Vista development in recent years.  That Microsoft has hit declining rates of return on its investment in "defending the base" is quite obvious.  Equally obvious is its clear willingness to throw money at projects even though it has no skill for understanding market needs sin order for development to yield anything commercially successful!

RD cost MSFT and others 2009

Source: Business Insider.com

And investments in opportunities outside the "core" business have not only failed to produce significant revenue, they've created vast losses.  Such as the horrible costs incurred in on-line markets.  Trying to launch Bing and compete with Google in ad sales far too late and with weak products has literally created losses that exceed revenues!

Microsoft-operating-income

Source: BusinessInsider.com

And the result has been a disaster for Microsoft shareholders – literally no gain the last several years.  This has allowed Apple to create a market value that actually exceeds Microsoft's.  An idea that seemed impossible during most of the decade!

Apple v msft mkt cap 05.24.10

Source: BusinessInsider.com

Under Mr. Ballmer's leadership Microsoft has done nothing more than protect market share in its original business – and at a huge cost that has not benefited shareholders with dividends or growth.  No profitable expansion into new businesses, despite several newly emerging markets.  And now late in practically every category.  Costs for business development that are wildly out of control, despite producing little incremental revenue.  And sitting on a business in operating systems and office software that is coming under more critical attack daily by the shift toward cloud computing. A shift that could make its "core" products entirely obsolete before 2020.

Given this performance, giving Mr. Ballmer his "target" bonus for last year seems ridiculous – even if half the maximum.  The proper question should be why does he still have his job? And if you still own Microsoft stock — why as well?