In "The Year in Innovation" BusinessWeek has offered its review of innovation in 2009. And the report is grim. Most companies cut innovation spending – including R&D. Even the pharmaceutical industry, historically tied to long-term investment cycles, cut 69,000 jobs in 2009, up 60% from 2008. Meanwhile, P&G's dust cloth Swiffer was pronounced a major innovation – indicating both how few innovations made it to market in 2009 – and the degree to which BusinessWeek must depend upon P&G for advertising dollars given this selection (I mean really – BusinessWeek ignores Google Wave and Android entirely in the article but feature a Swiffer dust cloth!)
According to BusinessWeek, the big advances in innovation in 2009 apparently were "open innovation" and "trickle up innovation." The first is asking vendors and others outside the company to contribute to innovation. Adoption of open innovation has spurred one thing – less spending on innovation as companies cut budgets, using "open innovation initiatives" as an explanation for how they intend to maintain themselves while spending less. Open innovation has not spurred improved innovation implementation, just justified spending less with no real plans to achieve growth. With open innovation, of course, failures no longer belong to the company because the "open environment" didn't produce anything – hence innovation simply wasn't possible!
Trickle up innovation is asking people in poor countries, like India, how they do things. Then seeing if you can steal an idea or two. There's nothing wrong with turning over every rock when trying to innovate, but using analysis of third world countries, where costs happen to be very low and new innovations few, to drive your innovation program smacks of looking for ways to put a fig leaf on a naked innovation program. Expectations are low, so explanations are more prevalent than results. C.K. Prahalad wrote an entire book on this approach – which is popular with big company leaders who have abandoned innovation and think it clever to steal ideas from the poor. But it's not how Apple became #2 in smart phonesor created iTunes or how Facebook has taken over social networking.
source: Silicon Alley Insider (with Google picking up 2 new carriers in late 2009, this chart will be very different by summer 2010)
None of the trends identified by BusinessWeek reflect behavior of the real innovation winners. Rather, they reflect the big companies who are mired in Defend & Extend management, and making excuses for their terrible performance since 2007. Not once does the article talk about Google, Apple, Cisco – or leading small company innovators like Tasty Catering in Chicago. There are companies winning at innovation, but they are certainly not following the trends (which have produced marginal results – at best) identified in this article.
Because planning processes look at last year when setting goals for next year, lots of companies now plan even lower innovation spending for 2010. And that's how an economy goes into a tailspin. Everyone from bankers to manufacturers to retailers are saying 2009 was weak, and they don't see much improvement for 2010. That can become a self-fulfilling prophecy. 24/7 Wall Street reported in "Immelt Speaks at West Point: Future Leadership Path" that the CEO of GE, Jeff Immelt, is doing less innovation spending and relying more on government/business partnership. And of course GE is realing from over-reliance on financial services and under-investment in new products during his leadership. While Immelt is patching up holes at GE, the company is sinking without new products manning the oars.
Companies don't just need to spend on R&D. Studies of R&D have shown that the bulk of spending is Defend & Extend. Trying to get more out of the technologies embedded in the Success Formula. P&G and GE can spend easily enough. But when it's on short-term "quick hits" they get declining marginal returns and weaker competitiveness.
Companies in 2010 must adopt new approaches. They have to quit planning from the past, and plan for the future. More scenario development and understanding how to change competitive position. And they have to quit being so conforming and promote Disruption. Disruptions are needed to open White Space so new Success Formulas can be developed. In the 2000/01 recession Apple looked to the future, Disrupted its total dedication to the Macintosh and unleashed White Space allowing the company to become a leader in digital music as well as the front runner in smart phones within a decade.
Your business can be a leader; and soon. If you start thinking differently about what you must do, quit putting all your energy into Defend & Extend behavior and invest in White Space, innovation will flourish – and with it your revenues and profits.
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