"Newspapers face pressure in selling online advertising" is today's headline about newspapers.  Seems even when the papers realize they must sell more online ads they can't do it.  Instead of selling what people want, the way they want it, the newspapers are trying to sell online ads the way they sold paper ads – with poor results

We all know that newspaper ad spending is down some 20-30%.  But even in this soft economy internet ad spending is up 13% versus a year ago.  Except for newspaper sites.  At Gannett, NYT and McClatchy internet ad sales are down versus a year ago! 

People don't treat internet news like they do a newspaper.  The whole process of looking for news, retrieving it, reading it, and going to the next thing is nothing like a newspaper.  Yet, daily newspapers keep trying to think of internet publishing like it's as simple as putting a paper on the web!  What works much better, we know, are sites focused on specific issues – like Marketwatch.com for financial info, or FoodNetwork.com.  Also, nobody wants to hunt for an on-line classified ad at a newspaper site – not when it's easier to go to cars.com or vehix.com to look for cars, or monster.com to look for jobs.  Web searching means that you aren't looking to browse across whatever a newspaper editor wants to feed you.  Instead you want to look into a topic, often bouncing across sites for relevant or newer information.  But a look at ChicagoTribune.com or USAToday.com quickly shows these sites are still trying to be a newspaper.

Likewise, online advertisers have far different expectations than print advertisers.  Newspapers simply said "we have xxxx subscribers" and expected buyers to pay.  But on the web advertisers know they can pay for placement against specific topics, and they can expect a specific number of page views for their money.  As the article says "if newspapers want to get their online revenue growing again, once the economy recovers, they have to tie ad rates more closely to results, charge less for ads and provide web content that readers can't get at every news aggregation site." 

When markets shift, it's not enough to try applying your old Success Formula to the new market.  That kind of Defend & Extend practice won't work.  You're trying to put a square (or at least oblong) peg into a round hole.  Shifted markets require new solutions that meet the new needs.  You have to study those needs, and project what customers will pay for.  And you have to give them product that's superior to competitors in some key way.  Old customers aren't trying to buy from you.  Loyalty doesn't go far in a well greased internet enabled world.  You have to substantiate the reason customers need to remain loyal.  You have to offer them solutions that meet their emerging needs, not the old ones.

Years ago IBM almost went bust trying to be a mainframe company when people found hardware prices plummeting and off-the-shelf software good enough for their needs.  IBM had to develop new scenarios, which showed customers needed services to implement technology.  Then IBM had to demonstrate they could deliver those services competitively.  Only by Disrupting their old Success Formula, tied to very large hardware sales, and implementing White Space where they developed an entirely new Success Formula were they able to migrate forward and save the company from failure.

Unfortunately, most newspaper companies haven't figured this out yet.  They don't realize that bloggers and other on-line content generators are frequently scooping their news bureaus, getting to news fans faster and with more insight.  They don't realize that on-line delivery is not about a centralized aggregation of news, but rather the freshness and insight.  And they haven't figured out that advertisers take advantage of enhanced metrics to demand better results from their spending.  The New York Times, Gannett and other big newspaper companies better study the IBM turnaround before it's too late.