You know I’m no fan of McDonald’s (see chart here.)  As detailed in previous blogs, the leadership is horribly Locked-in to its old Success Formula, and is expending lots of company resources to protect that Success Formula in the face of unhappy investors and competitors.  Yet, when talking about competitors what do you hear McDonald’s discuss?  Wendy’s, Burger King, Carl’s Jr. – other businesses focues upon hamburgers -with an occasional mention of Kentucky Fried Chicken or another traditional fast food outlet. 

We all know where the big threat is though.  And that’s Starbucks (see chart here).  Far from a mere coffee shop, Starbucks has used White Space to unleash itself in several markets.  And last week Starbucks showed its willingness to use White Space to expand into the marketplace McDonald’s has owned for decades – fast lunch – by announcing it will be launching premier salads. 

McDonald’s started selling salads totally as a defensive move.  McDonald’s new customers were staying away because mom or dad simply couldn’t eat a burger and fries, or preferred not to.  So McDonald’s offered a second-rate salad product at a hefty price to try and keep the parents from saying "no" when the kids asked if they could have a burger.  Salads weren’t intended to bring in new customers to eat salads, they were intended to Defend & Extend the old hamburger-based Success Formula by stopping client exodus.

Starbucks is taking a positive move into salads (see article here).  It is an expansion of their Success Formula definition to include a full lunch entree.  It is a shot across the bow of McDonald’s, which has conveniently ignored this emerging competitor for several years.  And McDonald’s didn’t see it coming, and would now most likely say they don’t think of Starbucks as a competitor.  After all, Starbucks doesn’t sell a burger, or fries.

The national airlines (United and American) never dreamed that Southwest would one day be national, have much higher customer satisfaction and be more profitable.  Sears never imagined that a low-cost discount chain like Wal-Mart could eclipse its powerhouse status.  DEC never imagined that AutoCad could drive it out of business.  Lanier and Wang never perceived that Microsoft with a simple application like Word could kill the word processing marketplace.  Once businesses devote their energies to Defending and Extending their Success Formula they completely miss the new competitors, and they don’t react until they are so far down the river that they can hear the Whirlpool sucking them under.