Readers of this blog know I've been very pessimistic about the future of GM for well over 2 years.  And I've long extolled the need to change top management.  I'm passing along some quotes from Professor Rosabeth Moss Kanter at the Harvard Business School in "Why Rick Wagoner Had to Go" at Harvard Business School publishing's web site.

"It was only a matter of time before GM's Rick Wagoner would have to go, and the board with him.  I am surprised he lasted this long, a fact that also shows weakness on the board side…. In this tough economic environmnet, if you wait too long to envision and implement transformational changes you are out of the game.  That holds for every industry under attack because of obsolete business models, including newspapers and big pharma…. New leaders at the top can bring a novel perspective, unburdened by the need to justify strategies of the past, and not stuck in a narrow way of thinking…. Companies finding themselves in a downward spiral need fresh views, not just redoubled efforts to do the same thing while waiting for the recession to end….. Now is the time for every company to do what GM failed to do fast enough and imaginatively enough: rethink everything.  What…. takes you into the future, and what is just legacy, continued out of sentiment?"

Thanks Professor Kantor, I agree completely.  GM was stuck Defending & Extending its old Success Formula, and as a result performance deteriorated to the point of failure.  And it's not just GM.  As the good professor points out, media companies that remain tied to newspapes have the same problem.  Today the Sun Times Group, publisher of the Chicago Sun Times declared bankruptcy ("Sun Times Files for Bankruptcy" Marketwatch.com).  There is no longer a major newspaper in Chicago that is not bankrupt.  And this blog has covered how big pharma has stayed too long at the trough of old inventions, missing the move to biologics.

Things are bad.  "All 50 states in recession for first time since the 1970s" is one of two Marketwatch.com headlines, "Global Economy to Shrink in 2009, World Bank Says."  The downturn is expected to be 1.7% globally, a disaster for small and emerging economies.  This is killing global trade (down 6.1%) and whipsawing countries like Russia – moving from growth last year of over 6% to a decline this year of over 4%!  This is the stuff that has led to revolutions!

The only way out of this situation is for organizations to listen to the good professor, and not try to do more of the same.  Markets have shifted – permanentlyManagement actions that are designed to weather short-term downturns, mostly by cost-cutting and conserving resources, don't work when markets shift.  Instead, businesses have to develop new Success Formulas that get them out of the Whirlpool's spiral and into the Rapids of Growth.  To do this requires planning based upon future senarios, not what worked before.  Obsessing about competitors globally to develop new solutions.  Not fearing, but rather embracing Disruptions that allow for trying new things in White Space where you have permission and resources to really develop new solutions.  These 4 steps can turn around any organization – if you don't wait too long.