Smisek’s United Ouster – Were You Really Surprised?

Smisek’s United Ouster – Were You Really Surprised?

Jeff Smisek, CEO of United Continental Holdings, was fired this week. It appears he was making deals with public officials (specifically the Chairman of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey) to keep personally favored flights of politicians in the air, even when unprofitable, in a quid-pro-quo exchange for government subsidies to move a taxiway and better airport transit.

Wow, horse-trading of the kind that put the governor of Illinois in the penitentiary.

United-Jeff-Smisek-FiredBut you have to ask yourself, couldn’t you see it coming?  Or are we just so used to lousy leadership that we think there’s no end to it?

United has been beset with a number of problems.  Since Mr. Smisek organized the merger of Continental (his former employer) with United, creating the world’s largest airline at the time, things have not gone well.  Since announcing the merger in 2010, more has gone wrong than right at United:

The merged airline didn’t start in a great position.  It was in 2009 that a budding musician watched United baggage handlers destroy his guitar, leading to a series of videos on bad customer service that took to the top of YouTube and iTunes and his book on the culture of customer abuse at United underscored a major PR nightmare.

How could things seem to constantly become worse?  It was clear that at the top, United’s leadership cared only about cost control (ironically code named Project Quality.) Operational efficiency was seen as the only strategy, and it did not matter how much this strategy disaffected employees, suppliers or customers.  In 2013 United ranked dead last in the quality ranking of all airlines by Wichita State University, and the airline replied by saying it really didn’t care.

The power of thinking that if you focus on pennies and nickels the quarters and dollars will take care of themselves is strong.  It encourages you be very focused on details, even myopic, and operate your business very narrowly.  And it can set you up to make really dumb mistakes, like possibly trading airline flights for construction subsidies.

Focus, focus, focus often leads to being blind, blind, blind to the world around you.

There were ample signs of all the things going wrong at United, and the need for a change. The open question is why it took a criminal investigation into bribing government officials for the airline’s Board to fire the CEO?  Bad performance apparently didn’t matter?  Do you have to be an accused lawbreaker to be shown the door?

The story broke in February, so the Board has had a few months to find a replacement CEO.  Mr. Oscar Munoz will now take the reigns.  But one has to wonder if he is up for the challenges.  As a former railroad President, his world of relationships was much smaller than the millions of customers and 84,000 employees at United.

United’s top brass has a serious need “to get over itself.”  United’s internal focus, driven by costs, has disenfranchised its brand embassadors, its customer base, and many industry analysts.

United needs to become a lot clearer about what customers really need and want. Years of overly simplistic “all customers care about is price” has commoditized United’s approach to air travel.  Customers have been smart enough to see through lower seat prices, only to be stuck with seat assignment and baggage fees raising total trip cost.  And charging for everything on the plane, including cheesy TV shows, has customers wondering just how far from Spirit Airlines’ approach United would drift before someone reminded leadership what their customers want and why they used to choose United.

Unfortunately, it is a bit unsettling that CEO Munoz said his first action will be to take 90 days “traveling the system and listening and talking to our people and working with our management team.”  Sounds like a lot more internal focus.  Spending more time talking to customers at United’s hubs, and seeing how they are treated from check-in to baggage, might do him a lot more good.

United became big via acquisition.  That is much different than building an airline, like say Southwest did.  Growth via purchase is not the same as growth via loyal customers and an attractive brand proposition.  United has clearly lost its way.  It has a lot of problems to solve, but first among them should be understanding what customers want.  Then designing the model to profitably deliver it.

United – this is NOT “any way to run an airline”

The good folks at Wichita State (a final four contender as U.S. basketball fans know) and Purdue released their 2013 Airline Quality RatingUnited Airlines came in dead last.  To which United responded that they simply did not care.  Oh my.

Interestingly, this study is based wholly on statistical performance, rather than customer input.  The academics utilize on-time flight performance, denied passenger boardings, mishandled bags and complaints filed with the Department of Transportation.  It does not even begin to explore surveying customers about their satisfaction.  Anyone who flies regularly can well imagine those results.  Oh my.

So how would you expect an innovative, adaptive growth-oriented company (think like Amazon, Apple, Samsung, Virgin, Neimann-Marcus, Lulu Lemon) to react to declining customer performance metrics?  They might actually change the product, to make it more desirable by customers.  They might hire more customer service representatives to identify customer issues and fix problems quicker.  They might adjust their processes to achieve higher customer satisfaction.  They might train their employees to be more customer-oriented. 

But, United decidedly is not an innovative, adaptive organization.  So it responded by denying the situation.  Claiming things are getting better.  And talking about how it is spending more money on its long-term strategy.

United doesn't care about customers – and really never has.  United is focused on "operational excellence" (using the word excellence very loosely) as Messrs. Treacy and Wiersema called this strategy in their mega-popular book "The Discipline of Market Leaders" from 1995. United's strategy, like many, many businesses, is to constantly strive for better execution of an old strategy (in their case, hub-and-spoke flight operations) by hammering away at cutting costs. 

Locked in to this strategy, United invests in more airplanes and gates (including making acquisitions like Continental) believing that being bigger will lead to more cost cutting opportunities (code named "synergies".)  They beat up on employees, fight with unions, remove anything unessential (like food) invent ways to create charges (like checked bags or change fees), fiddle with fuel costs, ignore customers and constantly try to engineer minute enhancements to operations in efforts to save pennies.

Like many companies, United is fixated on this strategy, even if it can't make any money.  Even if this strategy once drove it to bankruptcy.  Even if its employees are miserable. Even if quality metrics decline. Even if every year customers are less and less happy with the product.  All of that be darned!  United just keeps doing what it has always done, for over 3 decades, hoping that somehow – magically – results will improve.

Today people have choices.  More choices than ever.  That's true for transportation as well.  As customers have become less happy, they simply won't pay as much to fly.  The impact of all this operational focus, but let the customer be danged, management is price degradation to the point that United, like all the airlines, barely (or doesn't – like American) cover costs.  And because of all the competition each airline constantly chases the other to the bottom of customer satisfaction – each  lowering its price as it mimics the others with cost cuts.

In 1963 National Airlines ran ads asking "is this any way to run an airline?" Well, no. 

Success today – everywhere, not just airlines – requires more than operational focus.  Constantly cutting costs ruins the brand, customer satisfaction, eliminates investment in new products and inevitably kills profitability.  The litany of failed airlines demonstrates just how ineffective this strategy has become.  Because operational improvements are so easily matched by competitors, and ignores alternatives (like trains, buses and automobiles for airlines) it leads to price wars, lower profits and bankruptcy.

Nobody looks to airlines as a model of management.  But many companies still believe operational excellence will lead to success.  They need to look at the long-term implications of this strategy, and recognize that without innovation, new products and highly satisfied new customers no business will thrive – or even survive.