What Steve Jobs Would Tell Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg was Time magazine's Person of the Year in December, 2010.  He was given that honor because Facebook dominated the emerging social media marketplace, and social media had clearly begun changing how people do things.  Despite his young age, Mr. Zuckerberg had created a phenomenon demonstrated by the hundreds of million new Facebook users.

But things have turned pretty rough for the young Mr. Zuckerberg. 

  • Facebook was pretty much forced, legally, to go public because it had accumulated so many shareholders.  The stock hit the NASDAQ with much fanfare in May, 2012 – only to have gone pretty much straight down since.  It now trades at about 50% of IPO pricing, and is under constant pressure from analysts who say it may still be overpriced.
  • Facebook discovered perhaps 83million accounts were fake (about  9%) unleashing a torrent of discussion that perhaps the fake accounts was a much, much larger number.
  • User growth has fallen to some 35% – which is much slower than initial investors hoped.  Combined with concerns about fake accounts, there are people wondering if Facebook growth is stalling.
  • Facebook has not grown revenues commensurate with user growth, and people are screaming that despite its widespread use Facebook doesn't know how to "monetize" its base into revenues and profits.
  • Mobile use is growing much faster than laptop/PC use, and Facebook has not revealed any method to monetize its use on mobile devices – causing concerns that it has no plan to monetize all those users on smartphones and tablets and thus future revenues may decline.
  • Zynga, a major web games supplier, announced weak earnings and said its growth was slowing – which affects Facebook because people play Zinga games on Facebook.
  • GM, one of the 10 largest U.S. advertisers, publicly announced it was dropping Facebook advertising because executives believed it had insufficient return on investment. Investors now fret Facebook won't bring in major advertisers.
  • Google keeps plugging away at competitive product Google+. And while Facebook  disappointed investors with its earnings, much smaller competitor Linked-in announced revenues and earnings which exceeded expectations.  Investors now worry about competitors dicing up the market and minimalizing Facebook's future growth.

Wow, this is enough to make 50-something CEOs of low-growth, non-tech companies jump with joy at the upending of the hoody-wearing 28 year old Facebook CEO.  Zynga booted its Chief Operating Officer and has shaken up management, and not suprisingly, there are analysts now calling for Mr. Zuckerberg to step aside and install a new CEO.

Yet, Mr. Zuckerberg has been wildly successful.  Much more than almost anyone else in American business today.  He may well feel he needs no advice.  But…. what do you suppose Steve Jobs would tell him to do? 

Recall that Mr. Jobs was once the young head of Apple, only to be displaced by former Pepsi exec John Sculley — and run out of Apple.  As everyone now famously knows, after a string of Apple CEOs led the company to the brink of disaster Mr. Jobs agreed to return and completely turned around Apple making it the most successful tech company of the last decade.  Given what we've observed of Mr. Jobs career, and read in his biography, what advice might he give Mr. Zuckerberg? 

  • Don't give up your job.  Not even partly.  If you create a "shadow" or "co" CEO you'll be gone soon enough.  Lead, quit or make the Board fire you.  If you had the vision to take the company this far, why would you quit? 
  • Nothing is more important than product.  Make Facebook's the best in the world.  Nothing less will allow a tech company to survive, much less thrive.  Don't become so involved with financials and analysts that you lose sight of your #1 job, which is to make the very, very best social media product in the world.  Never stop improving and perfecting.  If your product isn't obviously superior to other solutions you haven't accomplished your #1 priority.
  • Be unique.  Make sure your products fulfill needs no one else fulfills – at least not well.  Meet unserved and underserved needs so that people talk about your product and what it does – not how much it costs.  Make sure that Facebook has devoted, diehard customers that believe your products meet their needs so well they would not consider your competition.
  • Don't ask customers what they want – give them what they need.  Understand the trends and create future scenarios so you are constantly striving to create a better future, not just improve on history.  Never look backward at what you've done, but instead always look forward at creating what noone else has ever done.  Push your staff to create solutions that meet user needs so well that you can tell customers why they need your product in ways they never before considered.  
  • Turn your product releases into a show.  Don't just run out new products willy-nilly, or on a random timeline.  Make sure you bundle products together and make a big show of each release so you can describe the upgrades, benefits and superiority of what you offer for customers.  People need to understand the trends you are meeting, and need to see the future scenario you are creating, and you have to tell them that story or they won't "get it."
  • Price for profit.  You run a business, not a hobby or not-for-profit society.  If you do the product right you shouldn't even be talking about price – so price to make ridiculous margins by industry standards.  At Apple, Next and Pixar the products were never the cheapest, but they accomplished what customers needed so well that we could price high enough to make margins that supported additional product development.  And you can't remain the best solution if you don't have enough margin to keep developing future products.
  • Don't expect products to sell themselves.  Be the #1 passionate spokesperson for the elegance and superiority of your products.  Never stop beating the drum for the unique capability and superiority of your product, in every meeting, all the time, never ending.  People like to "revert to the mean" so you have to keep telling them that isn't good enough – and you have something far superior that will greatly improve their success.
  • Never miss an opportunity to compare your products to competition and tell everyone why your products are far better.  Don't disparage the competition, but constantly reinforce that you are first, you are ahead of everyone else, you are far better — and the best is yet to come!  Competition is everywhere, and listen to the Andy Groves advice "only the paranoid survive."  You aren't satisfied with what the competition offers, and customers should not be satisfied either.  Every once in a while give people a small glimpse as to the radically different world you see in 3-5 years so they buy what you are selling in order to prepare for that future world.
  • Identify key customers that need your solution and SELL THEM.  Disney needed Pixar, so we made sure they knew it.  Identify the customers who can gain the most from doing business with you and SELL THEM.  Turn them into lead customers, obtain their testimonials and spread the word.  If GM isn't your target, who is?  Find them and sell them, then tell us all how you will build on those early accounts to eventually dominate the market – even displacing current solutions that are more popular.  If GM is your target then make the changes you need to make so you can SELL THEM.  Everyone wants to do business with a winner, so you must show you are a winner.
  • Identify 5 of your competition's biggest customers (at Google, Yahoo, Linked-in, etc.) and make them yours.  Demonstrate your solutions are superior with competitive wins.
  • Hire someone who can talk to the financial community for you – and do it incredibly well.  While you focus on future markets and solutions someone has to tell this story to the financial analysts in their lingo so they don't lose faith (and they are a sacrilegious lot who have no faith.)  Keep Facebook out of the forecasting game, but you MUST create and maintain good communication with analysts so you need someone who can tell the story not only with products and case studies but numbers.  Facebook is a disruptive innovation company, so someone has to explain why this will work.  You blew the IPO road show horribly by showing up at meetings in a hoodie – so now you need to make amends by hiring someone who will give them faith that you know what you're doing and can make it happen.

These are my ideas for what Steve Jobs would tell Mark Zuckerberg.  What are yours?  What do you think the #1 CEO of the last decade would say to the young, embattled CEO as he faces his first test under fire leading a public company?

Value creating CEO – Steve Jobs, Innovation and Apple

$150billion.  That's a lot of money.  And that's how much shareholder value has increased at Apple since Steve Jobs returned as CEO.  Can you think of any other CEO that has aided shareholder wealth so much?  Do any of the cost cutting CEOs in manufacturing companies, financial services firms, or media companies see their share prices rising like Apple's? 

Fortune has declared this "The Decade of Steve" in its latest publication at Money.CNN.com.  Such over-the-top statements are by nature intended to sell magazines (or draw page hits).  But the writer makes the valid point that very few leaders impact their industry like Apple has the computer industry, under Jobs leadership (but not under other leaders.)  Yet, under his leadership Apple has also had a dramatic impact on the restructuring of two other industriesmusic and mobile phones/computing.  And a company Mr. Jobs founded, Pixar, had a major impact on restructuring the movie business (Pixar was sold to Disney, and has played a significant role in the value increase of that company.)  So with Mr. Jobs as leader, no less than 4 industries have been dramatically changed – and huge value created for shareholders.

No cost-cutting CEO, no "focus on the core" CEO, no "execution" CEO can claim to have made the kind of industry changes that have occurred through businesses led by Steve Jobs.  And none of those CEO profiles can say they have created the shareholder value Mr. Jobs has created.  Not even Bill Gates or Steve Ballmer can claim to have added any value this decade – as Microsoft's value is now less than it was when the millenia turned.  Despite the relative size difference between the market for PCs and Macs (about 10 to 1) today Apple has more cash and marketable securities than the entire value of the historically supply-chain driven Dell Corporation.

Mr. Jobs is constantly pushing his organization to focus on the future, about what the markets will want, rather than the past and what the company has made.  It was a decade ago that Apple created its "digital lifestyle" scenario of the future, which opened Apple's organization to being much more than Macs.  Jobs obsesses about competitors and forces his employees to do the same, to make sure Apple doesn't grow complacent  he pushes all products to have leading edge components.  Mr. Jobs embraces Disruption, doesn't fear seeing it in his company, doesn't mind it amongst his people, and works to create it in his markets.  And he makes sure Apple constantly keeps White Space projects open and working to see what works with customers – testing and trying new things all the time in the marketplace.

Following these practices, Apple pulled itself away from the Whirlpool and returned to the Rapids of Growth.  Almost bankrupt, it wasn't financial re-engineering that saved Apple it was launching new products that met emerging needs.  Apple showed any company can turn itself around if it follows the right steps.

As companies are struggling with value, people should look to Apple (and Google).  Value is not created by cost cutting and waiting for the recession to end.  Value is created by seeking innovations and creating an organization that can implement them. Especially Disruptive ones.  Whether he's the CEO of the decade or not I can't answer.  But saying he's one heck of a good role model for what leaders should be doing to create value in their companies is undoubtfully true.

Why Sun Failed – unwillingness to adapt

"With Oracle, Sun avoids becoming another Yahoo," headlines Marketwatch.com today.  As talks broke down because IBM was unwilling to up its price for Sun Microsystems, Oracle Systems swept in and made a counter-offer that looks sure to acquire the company.  Unlike Yahoo – Sun will now disappear.  The shareholders will get about 5% of the value Sun was worth a decade ago at its peak.  That's a pretty serious value destruction, in any book.  And if you don't think this is bad news for the employees and vendors just wait a year and see how many remain part of Oracle.  A sale to IBM would have fared no better for investors, employees or vendors.

It was clear Sun wasn't able to survive several years ago.  That's why I wrote about the company in my book Create Marketplace Disruption.  Because the company was unwilling to allow any internal Disruptions to its Success Formula and any White Space to exist which might transform the company.  In the fast paced world of information products, no company can survive if it isn't willing to build an organization that can identify market shifts and change with them

I was at a Sun analyst conference in 1995 where Chairman McNealy told the analysts "have you seen the explosive growth over at Cisco System?  I ask myself, how did we miss that?"  And that's when it was clear Sun was in for big, big trouble.  He was admitting then that Sun was so focused on its business, so focused on its core, that there was very little effort being expended on evaluating market shifts – which meant opportunities were being missed and Sun would be in big trouble when its "core" business slowed – as happens to all IT product companies.  Sun had built its Success Formula selling hardware.  Even though the real value Sun created shifted more and more to the software that drove its hardware, which became more and more generic (and less competitive) every year, Sun wouldn't change its strategy or tacticswhich supported its identity as a hardware company – its Success Formula.  Even though Sun became a leader in Unix operating systems, extensions for networking and accessing lots of data, as well as the creator and developer of Java for network applications because software was incompatible with the Success Formula, the company could not maintain independent software sales and the company failed. 

Sort of like Xerox inventing the GUI (graphical user interface), mouse, local area network to connect a PC to a printer, and the laser printer but never capturing any of the PC, printer or desktop publishing market.  Just because Xerox (and Sun) invented a lot of what became future growth markets did not insure success, because the slavish dedication to the old Success Formula (in Xerox's case big copiers) kept the company from moving forward with the marketplace

Instead, Sun Microsystems kept trying to Defend & Extend its old, original Success Formula to the end.  Even after several years struggling to sell hardware, Sun refused to change into the software company it needed to become. To unleash this value, Sun had to be acquired by another software company, Oracle, willing to let the hardware go and keep the software – according to the MercuryNews.com "With Oracle's acquisition of Sun, Larry Ellison's empire grows."  Scott McNealy wouldn't Disrupt Sun and use White Space to change Sun, so its value deteriorated until it was a cheap buy for someone who could use the software pieces to greater value in another company.

Compare this with Steve Jobs.  When Jobs left Apple in disrepute he founded NeXt to be another hardware company – something like a cross between Apple and Sun.  But he found the Unix box business tough sledding.  So he changed focus to a top application for high powered workstations – graphics – intending to compete with Silicon Graphics (SGI).  But as he learned about the market, he realized he was better off developing application software, and he took over leadership of Pixar.  He let NeXt die as he focused on high end graphics software at Pixar, only to learn that people weren't as interesed in buying his software as he thought they would be.  So he transitioned Pixar into a movie production company making animated full-length features as well as commercials and short subjects.  Mr. Jobs went through 3 Success Formulas getting the business right – using Disruptions and White Space to move from a box company to a software company to a movie studio (that also supplied software to box companies).  By focusing on future scenarios, obsessing about competitors and Disrupting his approach he kept pushing into White Space.  Instead of letting Lock-in keep him pushing a bad idea until it failed, he let White Space evolve the business into something of high value for the marketplace.  As a result, Pixar is a viable competitor today – while SGI and Sun Microsystems have failed within a few months of each other.

It's incredibly easy to Defend & Extend your Success Formula, even after the business starts failing.  It's easy to remain Locked-in to the original Success Formula and keep working harder and faster to make it a little better or cheaper.  But when markets shift, you will fail if you don't realize that longevity requires you change the Success Formula.  Where Unix boxes were once what the market wanted (in high volume), shifts in competitive hardware (PC) and software (Linux) products kept sucking the value out of that original Success Formula. 

Sun needed to Disrupt its Lock-ins – attack them – in order to open White Space where it could build value for its software products.  Where it could learn to sell them instead of force-bundling them with hardware, or giving them away (like Java.)  And this is a lesson all companies need to take to heart.  If Sun had made these moves it could have preserved much more of its value – even if acquired by someone else.  Or it might have been able to survive as a different kind of company.  Instead, Sun has failed costing its investors, employees and vendors billions.