Are You More Like Rupert Murdoch Than You Think?


Bernie Ebbers (of WorldCom) and Jeff Skilling (of Enron) went to prison.  Less well known is Conrad Black – the CEO of Sun Times Group – who also went to the pokey.  What do they have in common with Rupert Murdoch – besides CEO titles?  The famous claim, “I am not responsible” closely allied with “I’ve done nothing wrong.” While Murdoch hasn’t been charged with crimes, or come close to jail (yet,) there is no doubt people at News Corp have been charged, and some will go to jail.  And there is public outcry Murdoch be fired.

Investors should take note; three bankruptcies killed 2 of the organizations the ex-cons led and investors were wiped out at Sun Times which barely remains in business. What will happen at News Corp? Given the commonalities between the 4 leaders, I don’t think I’d want to be a News Corp. stockholder, employee or supplier right now.

How in the world could something like this happen?

Like the infamous trio, Rupert Murdoch was, and is, a leader who defined the success formula of his company.  As time passed, the growing organization became adroit at implementing the success formula, operating better, faster and cheaper.  Loyal managers, who identified with, and implemented intensely, the success formula were rewarded.  Those who asked questions were let go.  Acquisitions were forced to conform to the success formula (such as MySpace) even if such conformance created a gap between the business and market needs.  Business failure was not nearly as bad as operating outside the success formula. Failure could be forgiven – but better yet was finding a creative way to make things look successful.

Supporting the company’s success formula – its identity, cultural norms and operating methods – using all forms of ingenuity became the definition of success in these companies.  This ingenuity was unbridled, even rewarded! Even when it came to skirting the edge of – or even breaking – the law.  Cleverly using outsiders to do “dirty work” was an ingenious way to create plausible deniability. Financial machinations were not considered a problem if there was any way to explain changes.  Violating accounting conventions not really an issue if done in the pursuit of shoring up reported results.  Moving money wherever necessary to avoid taxes, or fines, and pay off executives or their friends, not really a big deal if it helped the company implement its success formula.  Any behavior that reinforced the success formula, as the leader expressed it, made employees and contractors successful. 

Do the ends justify the means?  Of course! As long as the results appear good, and the leader is taking home a whopping amount of cash, everything appears “A-OK.” 

Is this because these are crooks?  Far from it.  Rather, they are dedicated, hard working, industrious, smart, inventive managers who have been given a clear mission.  To make the success formula work.  Each small step down the ethical gangplank was a very small increment – and everyone believed they operated far from the end.  If they got away with something yesterday, then why not expect to get away with a little more today?  What are ethics anyway?  Relative, changeable, difficult to define.  Whereas fulfilling the success formula creates clear, measurable outcomes!

What is the News Corp’s Board of Directors position?  The New York Times headlined “Murdoch’s Board Stands By as Scandal Widens.”  Mr. Murdoch, like any good leader implementing a success formula,  made sure the Board, as well as the executives and managers, were as dedicated to the success formula as he.  Through that lens there are no difficult questions facing the Board. Everything was done to defend and extend the success formula.  Mr. Murdoch and his team have done nothing wrong – except perhaps a zealous pursuit of implementation.  What’s wrong with that?  Why should the Board object?

Could this happen to you, and your organization?  It may already be happening.

Answer this option, what’s more important to you and your company:

  1. Focusing on and identifying market trends, and adapting your strategy, tactics, products, services and processes to align with emerging future trends, or
  2. Focusing on execution.  Setting goals, holding people to metrics and making sure implementation remains true to the company’s history, strengths and core capabilities, customers and markets? Rewarding those who meet metrics, and firing those who don’t?

If it’s the latter, it’s an easy slide into Murdoch’s very uncomfortable public seat.  Very few will end up with an Enron Sized Disaster, as BNET.com headlined.  But failure is likely.  Any time execution is more important than questioning, implementation is more important than listening and conforming to historical norms is more important than actual business results you are chasing the select group of leaders exemplified today by Mr. Murdoch.

Here are 10 questions to ask if you want to know how at risk you just might be.  If even a couple of these ring “yes,” you could be confidently, but errantly,  thinking everything is OK :

  1. Is loyalty more important than business results?  Do you have people working for you that don’t do that good a job, but do exactly what you want so you keep them?
  2. Do you hold certain aspects of your business as being beyond challenge – such as technology base, meeting key metrics, supporting historical distributors (or customers) or operating according to specified “rules?”
  3. Do you ask employees to operate according to norms before asking if they have a better idea?
  4. Does HR tell employees how to do things rather than asking employees what they need to succeed?
  5. Do employee and manager reviews have a section for asking how well they “fit” into the organization?  Are people pushed out that don’t “fit?”
  6. Are “trusted lieutenants” moved into powerful positions over talented managers just because leaders aren’t comfortable with the newer people? 
  7. Are certain functions (finance, HR, IT) expected (perhaps enforcers?) to make sure everyone operates according to the historical status quo?
  8. Is management meeting time spent predominantly on internal, versus external, issues?  Talking about “how to do it” rather than “what should we do?”
  9. Is your advisory board, or Board of Directors, filled with your friends and co-workers that agree with your success formula and don’t seek change?
  10. Do your customers, employees, or suppliers learn that demonstrating dissatisfaction leads to a bad (or ended) relationship?

 

How Harry Potter predicts Success for AOL


Evolution doesn’t happen like we think.  It’s not slow and gradual (like line A, below.)  Things don’t go from one level of performance slowly to the next level in a nice continuous way.  Rather, evolutionary change happens brutally fast.  Usually the potential for change is building for a long time, but then there is some event – some environmental shift (visually depcted as B, below) – and the old is made obsolete while the new grows aggressively.  Economists call this “punctuated equilibrium.”  Everyone was on an old equilibrium, then they quickly shift to something new establishing a new equilibrium.

Punctuated EquilibriumMomentum has been building for change in publishing for several years.  Books are heavy, a pain to carry and often a pain to buy.  Now eReaders, tablets and web downloads have changed the environment.  And in June  J.K. Rowling, author of those famous Harry Potter books, opened her new web site as the location to exclusively sell Harry Potter e-books (see TheWeek.comHow Pottermore Will Revolutionized Publishing.”) 

Ms. Rowling has realized that the market has shifted, the old equilibrium is gone, and she can be part of the new one.  She’ll let the dinosaur-ish publisher handle physical books, especially since Amazon has already shown us that physical books are a smaller market than ebooks.  Going forward she doesn’t need the publisher, or the bookstore (not even Amazon) to capture the value of her series.  She’s jumping to the new equilibrium.

And that’s why I’m encouraged about AOL these days.  Since acquiring The Huffington Post company, things are changing at AOL.  According to Forbes writer Jeff Bercovici, in “AOL After the Honeymoon,” AOL’s big slide down in users has begun to reverse direction.  Many were surprised to learn, as the FinancialPost.com recently headlined, “Huffington Post Outstrips NYT Web Traffic in May.” Huffpo beats NYT views june 2011
Source: BusinessInsider.com

The old equilibrium in news publishing is obsolete.  Those trying to maintain it keep failing, as recently headlined on PaidContent.orgCiting Weak Economy, Gannett Turns to Job Cuts, Furloughs.” Nobody should own a traditional publisher, that business is not viable.

But Forbes reports that Ms. Huffington has been given real White Space at AOL.  She has permission to do what she needs to do to succeed, unbridled by past AOL business practices.  That has included hiring a stable of the best talent in editing, at high pay packages, during this time when everyone else is cutting jobs and pay for journalists.  This sort of behavior is anethema to the historically metric-driven “AOL Way,” which was very industrial management.  That sort of permission is rarely given to an acquisition, but key to making it an engine for turn-around. 

And HuffPo is being given the resources to implement a new model.  Where HuffPo was something like 70 journalists, AOL is now cranking out content from some 2,000 journalists and editors!  More than The Washington Post or The Wall Street Journal.  Ms. Huffington, as the new leader, is less about “managing for results” looking at history, and more about identifying market needs then filling them.  By giving people what they want Huffington Post is accumulating readers – which leads to display ad revenue.  Which, as my last blog reported, is the fastest growing area in on-line advertising

Where the people are, you can find advertsing.  As people are shift away from newspapers, toward the web, advertising dollars are following.  Internet now trails only television for ad dollars – and is likely to be #1 soon:

US Adv rev by market
Chart source: Business Insider

So now we can see a route for AOL to succeed.  As traditional AOL subscribers disappear – which is likely to accelerate – AOL is building out an on-line publishing environment which can generate ad revenue.  And that’s how AOL can survive the market shift.  To use an old marketing term, AOL can “jump the curve” from its declining business to a growing one.

This is by no means a given to succeed.  AOL has to move very quickly to create the new revenues.  Subscribers and traditional AOL ad revenues are falling precipitously.

AOL earnings

Source: Forbes.com

But, HuffPo is the engine that can take AOL from its dying business to a new one.  Just like we want Harry Potter digitally, and are happy to obtain it from Ms. Rowlings directly, we want information digitally – and free – and from someone who can get it to us.  HuffPo is now winning the battle for on-line readers against traditional media companies. And it is expanding, announced just this week on MediaPost.comHuffPo Debuts in the UK.”  Just as the News Corp UK tabloid, News of the World,  dies (The Guardian – “James Murdoch’s News of the World Closure is the Shrewdest of Surrenders.“)

News Corp. once had a shot at jumping the curve with its big investment in MySpace.  But leadership wouldn’t give MySpace permission and resources to do whatever it needed to do to grow.  Instead, by applying “professional management” it limited MySpace’s future and allowed Facebook to end-run it.  Too much energy was spent on maintaining old practices – which led to disaster.  And that’s the risk at AOL – will it really keep giving HuffPo permission to do what it needs to do, and the resources to make it happen?  Will it stick to letting Ms. Huffington build her empire, and focus on the product and its market fit rather than short-term revenues?  If so, this really could be a great story for investors. 

So far, it’s looking very good indeed. 

 

 

 

Pick the Right Battle – NBC Universal/Comcast’s future


Summary:

  • There is dramatic change in the television/media industry
  • NBC Universal/Comcast is changing ownership, and leaders
  • The company’s future success will have more to do with which battles the new President invests in than the history, or style of the past and future company President’s
  • Trying to “fix” the old business will waste resources and harm future prospects
  • Success will require developing a management approach that gives permission and resources to find a path to the future – a future that will be nothing like the past

NBC Universal is changing owners, from General Electric to Comcast.  The former NBC President, Jeff Zucker, is being replaced by Steve Burke.  Stylistically, it’s hard to imagine two fellas less alike.  Mr. Burke, portraited in the New York TimesA Little Less Drama at NBC,” is a mild-mannered, quiet, self-effacing executive who almost attended divinity school.  He avoids the limelight as much as he avoids being abrasive with colleagues.  The outgoing Mr. Zucker is by all accounts brash,abrasive and quick to make decisions, as he was portraited in PaidContent.orgWas Jeff Zucker Really So Bad For NBC Universal?

But it isn’t executive style that will determine whether Mr. Burke succeeds.  Although NBCU just returned its highest profits since 2004, the television and media industries are in dramatic transition.  Things aren’t like they used to be, and they will never be that way again.  Growing revenues, and profits, at the combined NBCU/Comcast will require Mr. Burke quickly move both companies into a different kind of competitor focused on the changed market of 2015 – when media customers and suppliers will both be very different, with quite different demands.

Although Mr. Zucker is blasted for allowing NBC’s ratings to fall to last among the Big 3 networks (including CBS and ABC), it’s not at all clear why that wasn’t a smart move.  What has grown NBC’s profits has been far removed from network programming.  It was the acquisition of cable channels USA and Sci Fi (now Syfy) via Universal, and later Bravo, Oxygen and The Weather Channel that contributed greatly to NBC’s revenue and profit growth.  These were also enhanced by building, from scratch, the #1 business-content television channel at CNBC, and the profitable, somewhat populist counter-channel to powerhouse conservative Fox News with MSNBC. Despite what the critics (who are largely interested in programs rather than profits) have said, it may have been an act of brilliance to avoid investing in the declining business that is prime time network programming.

What anyone thinks about the brouhaha over Jay Leno’s attempt at prime time, and Conan O’Brien’s stint leading The Today Show, is immaterial to revenue growth and profits.  I’m a late boomer, so I remember when there were only 3 stations, and Johny Carson dominated the post-news late evening.  But now I have college age sons that don’t even own televisions, have almost no idea who Jay Leno is (other than know of him as a car and motorcycle collector) and find all interview programs boring.  “Network” TV is something they don’t quite understand – since their tolerance for watching entertainment on someone else’s pre-determined schedule is non-existent, and their patience for sitting through commercials of real-time programming is even lower.  In other words, what happens in the “prime time” race, or with network celebrities, really doesn’t matter any more.  And if NBCU can’t grow viewers it can’t grow ad revenues – so why should it invest in the prime time business?  Just because it used to?  Or started that way?

While lots of media “experts” are screaming for Mr. Burke to “fix” NBC, that business is already well into the hospice.  Network share of entertainment interest is falling rapidly as boomers die, dozens of new offerings are micro-targeting across the channel spectrum, and we all turn to the internet for downloads, ignoring the TV for news or entertainment several additional hours each year.  Meanwhile, people under the age of 30 aren’t even watching much television any more.  They just pretend to watch while sitting with their parents as they text, check Facebook or watch a downloaded program on their iPhone.

“Network” programming is a business which is not going to grow again. Given how costs are increasing for traditional shows, and the over-explosion of inexpensive “reality” or “news” shows, and fragmentation and decline of advertising why would anyone ever expect this to be a profitable business?  Being last in that 3 horse race is about as interesting as tracking share of market for printed phone directories.  Probably the first to quit ist he big winner. So why should Mr. Burke spend much time, or money, fighting the last war?  “Fixing” that outdated business model is fraught with high risk, and low return.  Now that tthe artificial limits on news and entertainment programming have been removed (thanks to the internet) isn’t it time to let go of that historial artifact and focus on the future?

We know the future will be a mix of traditional TV (at least for a while, but don’t make any bets on it being too long), as well as targeted channels we now refer to as “cable” (even though that moniker is clearly losing meaning in a WiFi world.)  Some of these will be free access, and some will be paid content.  But all of that now must compete with downloads from Netfilx, Hulu (in which NBCU is a part owner) and YouTube (partially owned by Google.)  People can create and post their own programs, and even do their own marketing.  Instant availability, reviews and promotion will be couresy of Twitter and Facebook. This is a lot more complex than just ordering a new crime drama series, or situation comedy, and foisting it on a market with only a handful of channel options.

Viewership will range from 50″ panels, to 2″ hand-held screens – with a plethora of optional sizes in between.  Program length will be infinitely variable from hours of non-stop viewing to constantly interrupted sound bites, no longer proscribed by 30 minute increments.  Traditional programming, like local or national “news” will have little meaning, or value, in 2020 (or maybe 2015) when we will be receiving instant updates several times each day on our mobile device. 

Mr. Zucker did a yeoman’s job of steering NBCU toward the future.  He was smart enough to understand that only historians, locked-in media critics and old farts in Lay-Z-Boys care about what’s happening on The Tonight Show or the NBC News.  His primary investments were oriented toward understanding the future, and getting NBCU’s toes into that rapidly churning water where future growth lies.  But he’s leaving just as the stream is turning into a torrent.  Even what he did could well be out of date within a few years – or months!

Now it is Mr. Burke’s turn.  The very pleasant fellow has a daunting challenge.  If he isn’t supposed to “double down” his bets in network TV, and traditional “cable,” what is he supposed to do?  In a dramatically changing advertising world, where Google, Facebook and mobile device ads are now becoming the hot markets, what is the role for NBCU/Comcast?  If we no longer need the physucal cable (say in 2020), won’t Comcast lose subscribers for cable access just like we’re seeing declines in subscribers for newspapers, DVD subscriptions, land-line telephones and land-line long distance?  What is the role of a “programmer” like NBCU if viewers all have unlimited access to everything, anytime, anywhere, in any format?  And what is the value of a content provider if self-published content streams onto the web by the terabyte daily?  And is sorted by engines like Google and YouTube?

What Mr. Burke must do, regardless of style, is develop some scenarios about the future, and understand the much more complex playing field that is today’s media business.  He has to find the holes in competition, and learn how to leverage what the “fringe” competitors are doing that drives all that usage, and viewership.  And, most importantly, he has to keep experimenting – just as Mr. Zucker did.  He has to create opportunities to test the newly developing markets, figure out who will buy, and what they will buy.   He has to set up white space teams who have permission to be experimental, even if they attack the old businesses like “network” TV – even cannibalizing the historical viewr base as they transition toward future media markets.  If he can create these teams, give them the right permission and resources, NBCU/Comcast could be the next great media company. 

We’ll have to wait and see.  Will the sirens of the past, looking backward, pull the company into gladiator battles with old foes trying to hold share in narrowing, declining markets?  That path looks like a sure disaster.  Despite being an early leader with satellite TV and MySpace that approach has not helped NewsCorp.  But betting on the future is more a bet on the journey, and finding the right path, than betting on any particular destination.  The future-based approach takes a lot of faith in company leadership, and the company management team.  It will be interesting to see which way Mr. Burke goes.

Why Facebook beat MySpace – and What You Should Learn


Before there was Facebook, the social media juggernaut which is changing how we communicate – and might change the face of media – there was MySpace.  MySpace was targeted at the same audience, had robust capability, and was to market long before Facebook.  It generated enormous interest, received a lot of early press, created huge valuation when investors jumped in, and was undoubtedly not only an early internet success – but a seminal web site for the movement we now call social media.  On top of that, MySpace was purchased by News Corporation, a powerhouse media company, and was given professional managers to help guide its future as well as all the resources it ever wanted to support its growth.  By almost all ways we look at modern start-ups, MySpace was the early winner and should have gone on to great glory.

But things didn’t turn out that way.  Facebook was hatched by some college undergrads, and started to grow.  Meanwhile MySpace stagnated as Facebook exploded to 600 million active users.  During early 2010, according to The Telegraph in “Facebook Dominance Forces Rival Networks to Go Niche,” MySpace gave up on its social media leadership dreams and narrowed its focus to the niche of being a “social entertainment destination.” As the number of users fell, MySpace was forced to cut costs, laying off half its staff this week according to MediaPost.comMySpace Confirms Massive Layoffs.” After losing a reported $350million last year, it appears that MySpace may disappear – “MySpace Versus Facebook – There Can Be Only One” reported at Gigaom.com. The early winner now appears a loser, most likely to be unplugged, and a very expensive investment with no payoff for NewsCorp investors.

What went wrong? A lot of foks will be relaying the tactics of things done and not done at MySpace.  As well as tactics done and not done at Facebook.  But underlying all those tactics was a very simple management mistake News Corp. made.  News Corp tried to guide MySpace, to add planning, and to use “professional management” to determine the business’s future.  That was fatally flawed when competing with Facebook which was managed in White Space, lettting the marketplace decide where the business should go.

If the movie about Facebook’s founding has any veracity, we can accept that none of the founders ever imagined the number of people and applications that Facebook would quickly attract. From parties to social games to product reviews and user networks – the uses that have brought 600 million users onto Facebook are far, far beyond anything the founders envisioned.  According to the movie, the first effort to sell ads to anyone were completely unsuccessful, as uses behond college kids sharing items on each other were not on the table.  It appeared like a business bust at the beginning.

But, the brilliance of Mark Zuckerberg was his willingness to allow Facebook to go wherever the market wanted it.  Farmville and other social games – why not?  Different ways to find potential friends – go for it.  The founders kept pushing the technology to do anything users wanted.  If you have an idea for networking on something, Facebook pushed its tech folks to make it happen.  And they kept listening.  And looking within the comments for what would be the next application – the next promotion – the next revision that would lead to more uses, more users and more growth. 

And that’s the nature of White Space management.  No rules.  Not really any plans.  No forecasting markets.  Or foretelling uses.  No trying to be smarter than the users to determine what they shouldn’t do.  Not prejudging ideas so as to limit capability and focus the business toward a projected conclusion.  To the contrary, it was about adding, adding, adding and doing whatever would allow the marketplace to flourish.  Permission to do whatever it takes to keep growing.  And resource it as best you can – without prejudice as to what might work well, or even best.  Keep after all of it.  What doesn’t work stop resourcing, what does work do more.

Contrarily, at NewsCorp the leaders of MySpace had a plan.  NewsCorp isn’t run by college kids lacking business sense.  Leaders create Powerpoint decks describing where the business will head, where they will invest, how they will earn a positive ROI, projections of what will work – and why – and then plans to make it happen.  They developed the plan, and then worked the plan.  Plan and execute.  The professional managers at News Corp looked into the future, decided what to do, and did it.  They didn’t leave direction up to market feedback and crafty techies – they ran MySpace like a professional business.

And how’d that work out for them?

Unfortunately, MySpace demonstrates a big fallacy of modern management.  The belief that smart MBAs, with industry knowledge, will perform better.  That “good management” means you predict, you forecast, you plan, and then you go execute the plan.  Instead of reacting to market shifts, fast, allowing mistakes to happen while learning what works, professional managers should be able to predict and perform without making mistakes.  That once the bright folks who create the strategy set a direction, its all about executing the plan.  That execution will lead to success.  If you stumble, you need to focus harder on execution.

When managing innovation, including operating in high growth markets, nothing works better than White Space.  Giving dedicated people permission to do whatever it takes, and resources, then holding their feet to the fire to demonstrate performance.  Letting dedicated people learn from their successes, and failures, and move fast to keep the business in the fast moving water.  There is no manager, leader or management team that can predict, plan and execute as well as a team that has its ears close to the market, and the flexibility to react quickly, willing to make mistakes (and learn from them even faster) without bias for a predetermined plan.

The penchant for planning has hurt a lot of businesses.  Rarely does a failed business lack a plan.  Big failures – like Circuit City, AIG, Lehman Brothers, GM – are full of extremely bright, well educated (Harvard, Stanford, University of Chicago, Wharton) MBAs who are prepared to study, analyze, predict, plan and execute.  But it turns out their crystal ball is no better than – well – college undergraduates. 

When it comes to applying innovation, use White Space teams.  Drop all the business plan preparation, endless crunching of historical numbers, multi-tabbed Excel spreadsheets and powerpoint matrices.  Instead, dedicate some people to the project, push them into the market, make them beg for resources because they are sure they know where to put them (without ROI calculations) and tell them to get it done – or you’ll fire them.  You’ll be amazed how fast they (and your company) will learn – and grow.

Journalism 2020 Revisited – Amazon, Apple, NewsCorp, Newspapers, Books


Things are tough for the printed word these days.  Not for writing, or demand for information.  That is doing great – with more volume than ever!  But the issue is “printed” material.  Clearly, the format is changing.  But are business leaders changing with it?

The Los Angeles Times reported “Amazon.com Says It’s Selling 80% More Downloaded Books Than Hardcovers.”  This is a big switch.  Clearly Kindles are making a big difference as people are buying a lot less paper, and reading a lot more bits.  Do you remember when your colleagues all said “I want a book, I don’t want to read looking at a screen?”  Do you remember when businesspeople actually printed their emails?  Clearly a sentiment gone by the wayside. 

Accuracy in Media reported “U.S. Newspaper Circulation Dropped 30% Since ’07.” And it’s a global phenomenon, with the U.K. down 25%, Greece 20%, Italy 18% and Canada 17%. Fully 2/3 of major countries are seeing newspaper demand decline.  No wonder Tribune Corporation, publisher of The Chicago Tribune, Los Angeles Times and Baltimore Sun, as well as others, is having such a hard time emerging from bankruptcy.  Every month this looks more like the buggy whip business.  Can you really expect the company to survive?

Amidst this backdrop, magazines have a dire future.  I can remember when browsing magazines was the norm, and trade magazines arrived in my inbox daily.  Often 60 or 100 page affairs.  No longer.  Magazines have disappeared like rain in the Sahara.  Their savior is supposedly to go digital, but according to TwistedImage.com magazine leaders are at a loss how to proceed.  In “The Media Disruption Within” Mitch Joel describes how a panel of magazine publishers are approaching the industry change mostly with despair that the internet is here – and no concerted effort to define a new model.  Lock-in was prevalent as they kept hoping for a return to the good old days for print publishers, which we know is never going to happen.

So today the New York Post reported “Mag Publishers, Apple in Subscription App Scrap.”  Most of us can acquire newspapers for an iPad issue by issue – but subscriptions aren’t possible.  The magazine fears it will be the big loser – and rightfully so.  If Apple controls the subscription and delivery, why couldn’t it repackage?  Where would Apple stop, and what value would the magazine actually deliver?  Since iTunes changed music buying, how many people buy albums?  It would require the editors and publishers be really sharp to know their market – something most gave up a long time ago when they turned to focusing on narrow content for their “core product” and trying to maintain their “core competency.”  Neither of which are very “core” any more. 

We all want news that’s exactly what we want, and we’ll simply go to Google to get it.  Who published it isn’t nearly as important to readers any more.  Nor is the packaging.  Pretty soon Amazon via Kindle, Apple via iPad, and we can expect a Google tablet to do the same, can start packaging up the chapters of various books for readers giving them just what they want.  And with that they can link off to source articles from newspapers and magazine archives – or to current events.  The role of publisher will get a lot less clear, as writers and editors can go directly to the electronic distributor with content.

Into this fray is an interesting new approach reported by CNBC.com, “Rupert Murdoch’s New Digital Game Changer?”  The claim is that News Corp. is preparing an all-new interactive product designed just for on-line and mobile users.  It wouldn’t be a re-treaded newspaper.  Text, photo and video designed just for the medium.  Now that would be the right way to go about preparing for 2020.  Unfortunately, the way News Corp. handled MySpace.com doesn’t give us a lot of comfort this will be a truly White Space project.  But if it is, it might just be the start of toward the product which will be journalism in 2020.

If you’re in publishing you have no choice but to get White Space going.  The intermediaries – from the tech companies to new-age publishers like HuffingtonPost.com – are moving forward.  The business as it used to be is gone.  But the demand for news – for content – is bigger than ever.  It will require a new business model.  A new Success Formula. And this is clearly a case of change or die.  The world will never again be as it previously was.

Even if you don’t think of yourself as a publisher – you probably are.  Do you put out customer literature – like user or repair manuals?  Do you put out sales literature? Do you communicate with investors or industry analysts?  If so, how do you “publish” your material?  Paper?  Packaged pdf?  In today’s world, an advantage can be created by moving quickly to what’s new. 

Today there are a plethora of luxury automobiles on the market.  These beautifully high tech luxury machines have manuals that can run 500+ pages!   It is impossible to figure out how anything works by trying the manual!  Why don’t manufacturers of $60,000+ cars have a Kindle (or iPad) built into the console?  Those cost less than a set of brake pads today, they can be updated automatically, and are interactive. 

Are you thinking about how you could use a $100 device to make life easier for your customers and supply chain partners?  Or are you printing?  If you’re printing, what’s your budget?  How much would you save if your salespeople, customers, etc. were given a Kindle?  Or iPad?  Can you afford not to be thinking differently about your future?