Sayonara Sony – How Industrial, MBA Management Killed a Great Company

Who can forget what a great company Sony was, and the enormous impact it had on our lives?  With its heritage, it is hard to believe that Sony hasn't made a profit in 4 consecutive years, just recently announced it will double its expected loss for this year to $6.4 billion, has only 15% of its capital left as equity (debt/equity ration of 5.67x) and is only worth 1/4 of its value 10 years ago!

After World War II Sony was the company that took the transistor technology invented by Texas Instruments (TI) and made the popular, soon to become ubiquitous, transistor radio.  Under co-founder Akio Morita Sony kept looking for advances in technology, and its leadership spent countless hours innovatively thinking about how to apply these advances to improve lives.  With a passion for creating new markets, Sony was an early creator, and dominator, of what we now call "consumer electronics:"

  • Sony improved solid state transistor radios until they surpassed the quality of tubes, making good quality sound available very reliably, and inexpensively
  • Sony developed the solid state television, replacing tubes to make TVs more reliable, better working and use less energy
  • Sony developed the Triniton television tube, which dramatically improved the quality of color (yes Virginia, once TV was all in black & white) and enticed an entire generation to switch.  Sony also expanded the size of Trinitron to make larger sets that better fit larger homes.
  • Sony was an early developer of videotape technology, pioneering the market with Betamax before losing a battle with JVC to be the standard (yes Virginia, we once watched movies on tape)
  • Sony pioneered the development of camcorders, for the first time turning parents – and everyone – into home movie creators
  • Sony pioneered the development of independent mobile entertainment by creating the Walkman, which allowed – for the first time – people to take their own recorded music with them, via cassette tapes
  • Sony pioneered the development of compact discs for music, and developed the Walkman CD for portable use
  • Sony gave us the Playstation, which went far beyond Nintendo in creating the products that excited users and made "home gaming" a market.

Very few companies could ever boast a string of such successful products.  Stories about Sony management meetings revealed a company where executives spent 85% of their time on technology, products and new applications/markets, 10% on human resource issues and 5% on finance.  To Mr. Morita financial results were just that – results – of doing a good job developing new products and markets.  If Sony did the first part right, the results would be good.  And they were.

By the middle 1980s, America was panicked over the absolute domination of companies like Sony in product manufacturing.  Not only consumer electronics, but automobiles, motorcycles, kitchen electronics and a growing number of markets.  Politicians referred to Japanese competitors, like the wildly successful Sony, as "Japan Inc." – and discussed how the powerful Japanese Ministry of Trade and Industry (MITI) effectively shuttled resources around to "beat" American manufacturers.  Even as rising petroleum costs seemed to cripple U.S. companies, Japanese manufacturers were able to turn innovations (often American) into very successful low-cost products growing sales and profits.

So what went wrong for Sony?

Firstly was the national obsession with industrial economics.  W. Edward Deming in 1950s Japan institutionalized manufacturing quality and optimization.  Using a combination of process improvements and arithmetic, Deming convinced Japanese leaders to focus, focus, focus on making things better, faster and cheaper.  Taking advantage of Japanese post war dependence on foreign capital, and foreign markets, this U.S. citizen directed Japanese industry into an obsession with industrialization as practiced in the 1940s — and was credited for creating the rapid massive military equipment build-up that allowed the U.S. to defeat Japan.

Unfortunately, this narrow obsession left Japanese business leaders, buy and large, with little skill set for developing and implementing R&D, or innovation, in any other area.  As time passed, Sony fell victim to developing products for manufacturing, rather than pioneering new markets

The Vaio, as good as it was, had little technology for which Sony could take credit.  Sony ended up in a cost/price/manufacturing war with Dell, HP, Lenovo and others to make cheap PCs – rather than exciting products.  Sony's evolved a distinctly Industrial strategy, focused on manufacturing and volume, rather than trying to develop uniquely new products that were head-and-shoulders better than competitors.

In mobile phones Sony hooked up with, and eventually acquired, Ericsson.  Again, no new technology or effort to make a wildly superior mobile device (like Apple did.)  Instead Sony sought to build volume in order to manufacture more phones and compete on price/features/functions against Nokia, Motorola and Samsung.  Lacking any product or technology advantage, Samsung clobbered Sony's Industrial strategy with lower cost via non-Japanese manufacturing.

When Sony updated its competition in home movies by introducing Blue Ray, the strategy was again an Industrial one – about how to sell Blue Ray recorders and players.  Sony didn't sell the Blue Ray software technology in hopes people would use it.  Instead it kept it proprietary so only Sony could make and sell Blue Ray products (hardware).  Just as it did in MP3, creating a proprietary version usable only on Sony devices.  In an information economy, this approach didn't fly with consumers, and Blue Ray was a money loser largely irrelevant to the market – as is the now-gone Sony MP3 product line.

We see this across practically all the Sony businesses.  In televisions, for example, Sony has lost the technological advantage it had with Trinitron cathode ray tubes.  In flat screens Sony has applied a predictable, but money losing Industrial strategy trying to compete on volume and cost.  Up against competitors sourcing from lower cost labor, and capital, countries Sony has now lost over $10B over the last 8 years in televisions.  Yet, Sony won't give up and intends to stay with its Industrial strategy even as it loses more money.

Why did Sony's management go along with this?  As mentioned, Akio Morita was an innovator and new market creator.  But, Mr. Morita lived through WWII, and developed his business approach before Deming.  Under Mr. Morita, Sony used the industrial knowledge Deming and his American peers offered to make Sony's products highly competitive against older technologies.  The products led, with industrial-era tactics used to lower cost. 

But after Mr. Morita other leaders were trained, like American-minted MBAs, to implement Industrial strategies.  Their minds put products, and new markets, second.  First was a commitment to volume and production – regardless of the products or the technology.  The fundamental belief was that if you had enough volume, and you cut costs low enough, you would eventually succeed.

By 2005 Sony reached the pinnacle of this strategic approach by installing a non-Japanese to run the company.  Sir Howard Stringer made his fame running Sony's American business, where he exemplified Industrial strategy by cutting 9,000 of 30,000 U.S. jobs (almost a full third.) To Mr. Stringer, strategy was not about innovation, technology, products or new markets.  

Mr. Stringer's Industrial strategy was to be obsessive about costs. Where Mr. Morita's meetings were 85% about innovation and market application, Mr. Stringer brought a "modern" MBA approach to the Sony business, where numbers – especially financial projections – came first.  The leadership, and management, at Sony became a model of MBA training post-1960.  Focus on a narrow product set to increase volume, eschew costly development of new technologies in favor of seeking high-volume manufacturing of someone else's technology, reduce product introductions in order to extend product life, tooling amortization and run lengths, and constantly look for new ways to cut costs.  Be zealous about cost cutting, and reward it in meetings and with bonuses.

Thus, during his brief tenure running Sony Mr. Stringer will not be known for new products.  Rather, he will be remembered for initiating 2 waves of layoffs in what was historically a lifetime employment company (and country.)  And now, in a nod to Chairman Stringer the new CEO at Sony has indicated he will  react to ongoing losses by – you guessed it – another round of layoffs.  This time it is estimated to be another 10,000 workers, or 6% of the employment.  The new CEO, Mr. Hirai, trained at the hand of Mr. Stringer, demonstrates as he announces ever greater losses that Sony hopes to – somehow – save its way to prosperity with an Industrial strategy.

Japanese equity laws are very different that the USA.  Companies often have much higher debt levels.  And companies can even operate with negative equity values – which would be technical bankruptcy almost everywhere else.  So it is not likely Sony will fill bankruptcy any time soon. 

But should you invest in Sony?  After 4 years of losses, and entrenched Industrial strategy with MBA-style leadership focused on "numbers" rather than markets, there is no reason to think the trajectory of sales or profits will change any time soon. 

As an employee, facing ongoing layoffs why would you wish to work at Sony?  A "me too" product strategy with little technical innovation that puts all attention on cost reduction would not be a fun place.  And offers little promotional growth. 

And for suppliers, it is assured that each and every meeting will be about how to lower price – over, and over, and over.

Every company today can learn from the Sony experience.  Sony was once a company to watch. It was an innovative leader, that pioneered new markets.  Not unlike Apple today.  But with its Industrial strategy and MBA numbers- focused leadership it is now time to say, sayonara.  Sell Sony, there are more interesting companies to watch and more profitable places to invest.

Did you feel an economic earthquake – Japanese elections

Did you know that last night the Japanese turned over their government?  For 54 years one party has ruled Japan – a very pro-business, conservative party.  Then last night the voters threw out the old guys and in a landslide replaced 3/4 of their elected government officials.  The new politicians are considerably left of center by U.S. standards, a dramatic shift.  "Calls for Fast Action after Historic Vote" is the Yahoo! News headline.

You may be so tired of American politics that your interest in a Japanese election may be – let's say muted?  But this is really a very big deal.  Japan is the second largest global economy.  A change from the conservative, pro-business leadership to a more free-spending and liberal government is sure to have an impact on businesses everywhere – including the USA.  Remember we are Japan's #1 trading partner, they buy (and hold) a substantial portion of U.S. Treasury securities, and Japanese industrialists are often credited with having killed the U.S. steel and auto industries.  This is a market shift well worth paying attention to.

Ever since the great Japanese stock market melt-down in the early 1990s the U.S. has been pushing Japan to reflate the economy.  But the conservative government was opposed.  Thus, deflation kept Japanese from buying many goods.  But it now appears that several new stimulus programs will begin in Japan, which would raise the prices of Japanese imports (look out U.S. consumers) while increasing demand for offshore goods. 

Historically Japan bought loved U.S. goods, but shunned products from China, Taiwan and Korea – a leftover from their significant invasions and horrible treatment of people in those countries in the early 1900s until the end of WWII (Japanese Emporer Hirohito was about as popular in those countries as Hitler is in the USA.)  But new liberalism is likely to lead to more apologies from Japan, and a thawing of relations.  Which could lead to more trade with China and Korea – which would only exacerbate the U.S. economic problems.  We could see prices go up on imports, but no significant increase in exports!

Think we have a growth problem? Since peaking earlier in this century at 126M people, the Japanese population has actually been shrinking.  Most demographic experts believe the population will fall to below 100M by mid-century (that's just 40 years folks!)  Activities to stimulate the economy, creating more domestic demand and more domestic production could pull money away from buying U.S. Treasury bonds to fund domestic programs, making the interest rates on Treasuries go up, further dampening the U.S. economy due to debt costs (we running a bit of a deficit – in case you missed the news lately.)  Higher Treasury cost means higher corporate debt cost means harder to raise money – and dampers profits.  Meanwhile, inflation gets worse as we struggle to refund our debt load.

Japan has no domestic petroleum.  If you think our energy supply/demand is out of balance you ain't seen nothin' till you look at Japan.  They have to buy almost all their energy.  Reflate the economy, increase domestic demand for housing and cars (including dropping all road tolls – which can be $60 or $100 on a Japanese roadway) and you get increased energy demand, driving up prices, and putting more dampening on the U.S. economy as we pay more for oil, gas and electricity imports.

If you don't sell in Japan today, why not?  The new government promises to reduce the power of heavy handed bureaucrats (like at MITI) who have blocked expansion for decades.  For the first time in our lifetimes, we can anticipate a Japanese economy that will accept significantly more imports.  Stimulus money, strong currency and pent-up demand all indicate a much more desirable place to make and sell things than, say, America?

Market shifts happen at lots of levels.  And when they happen at the level of an economy, (read more about this in Create Marketplace Disruption) everything higher – like industries, companies, functional resources and work teams – have to shift with it.  If you don't, you become like the manufacturers being wiped out by today's global industrial shift.  The Japanese economy is on the precipice of a really big shift.  Intentionally.  If you don't prepare, you could see really bad things happen to your business.  On the other hand, if you watch closely, learn from the shift, and take action this just might be one of the biggest opportunities ever to grow your business.  So you'd better update your scenarios about the future, rethink Asian competition, Disrupt your patterns to consider new ideas and open some White Space to deal with this.  Because it could make a huge difference in just a year or two.