New ebook from Adam Hartung on Facebook

New ebook from Adam Hartung on Facebook

In the recently published, “Facebook- The Making of a Great Company”, Adam Hartung analyzes the rise of Facebook and its impact on the financial community, business marketing and innovation.

Adam’s posts over the years have predicted key milestones in Facebook’s growth and its transformation into a driver of social trends.  He tells the story of this company that has overcome negativity and skepticism in the financial community and has adapted to its users.

“So last week, when Facebook reported that its user base hadn’t grown like the
past, investors fled. Facebook recorded the largest one day drop in valuation in
history; about $120B of market value disappeared. Just under 20%.

No other statistic mattered. The storyline was that people didn’t trust Facebook
any longer, so people were leaving the platform. Without the record growth numbers
of the past, many felt that it was time to sell. That Facebook was going to be
the next MySpace.”

“That was a serious over-reaction.”

Adam Hartung, “Facebook-The Making of a Great Company”

Buy ebook now

 

Reports of Facebook’s Death Are Greatly Exaggerated (Paraphrasing Mark Twain)

Reports of Facebook’s Death Are Greatly Exaggerated (Paraphrasing Mark Twain)

On July 26, 2018 Facebook set a record for the most value lost in one day by a single company.  An astonishing $119B of market value was destroyed as the shares sank more than $40.  For many investors, it was the sky falling.

As most of you know, I’ve followed Facebook closely since it went public in 2012.  And, I’ve long been an admirer.  I said buy it at the IPO, and I’m saying buy it now. Click on the title of any of the posts to read the full content.

To summarize, Facebook may be under attack, but it is barely wounded.  And it is not in the throes of demise.  The long-term trends all favor the social media’s ongoing growth, and higher values in the future.  Below I’ll offer some of my previous blogs that are well worth revisiting amidst the current Facebook angst.

FANG (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google) investing is still the best bet in the market.  They have outperformed for years, and will continue to do so.  Why? Because they are growing revenues and profits faster than any other major companies in the market.  And “Growth is Good” (paraphrasing Gordon Gekko.)  If you have any doubts about the importance of growth, go talk to Immelt of GE or Lampert of Sears.

Don’t forget, for years now Facebook is more than Facebook.com.  It’s smart acquisition programs have dramatically increased the platform’s reach with video, messaging, texting and eventually peer-to-peer video.  Facebook’s leadership has built a very adaptable company, able to change the product to meet growing user (and customer) needs.

Facebook is on a path toward significant communication domination.  Facebook today is sort of the New York Times, Washington Post, Los Angeles Times and about 90% of the rest of the nation’s newspapers all in one.  Nobody is close to challenging Facebook’s leadership in news distribution, and all news is increasingly going on-line.

For all these reasons, you really do want to own Facebook.  Especially at this valuation.  It’s getting a chance to buy Facebook at its value when the year started, and Facebook is that much bigger, stronger, and adapted to changing privacy regulations that were still a mystery back then.

Oh, one last thing (paraphrasing Steve Jobs.)  Facebook actually isn’t the biggest one day drop in stock valuation, despite what you’ve read.

Stocks are priced in dollars, and dollars are subject to inflation.  So we should look at historical drops in inflation adjusted dollars.  Even though inflation has been mostly below 3% since the 1990s, from 2000 to today the dollar has inflated by 46%.  So inflation-adjusted, the biggest one day value destruction actually belongs to Intel, which lost $131B in September, 2000.  And Microsoft is only slightly in third place, having lost $117B in April, 2000.  So keep this in mind when you think about the long-term opportunity for Facebook.

Now Published!  “Facebook- The Making of a Great Company” ebook by Adam Hartung.

Click for Info and Ordering

History of the Book

Twelve years in the making.

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As professional business consultant with almost 30 years experience, Adam Hartung is all too familiar with a common malady among today’s businesses. Regardless of how much the leaders and organizations are struggling to grow revenues and profits they cannot seem to break out of below-expectation performance. Even when hiring top advisors, consultants and employees, results do not respond as expected. They seem stuck, and unable to make changes which will lead to superb performance.

Why? This question which sparked a more than 12 year analysis to determine the root of—and the solution to—the problem. Geoffrey Moore encouraged Adam to put his findings into a book, which he now endorses on the cover. The principles now covered in Create Marketplace Disruption have been affirmed as “fresh and much needed” by Tom Peters, and “a revolutionary message” by Malcolm Gladwell. Bill Gates’ co-author, Collins Hemingway, considers Create Marketplace Disruption a must read, as he details in the Foreword.

Business leadership has not yet made the transition from management in the industrial economy to management in the information economy. While much has been written about an information economy it has yet to fundamentally affect how leaders manage their organizations. True, computer technology has unleashed new business models and methods of competition. Yet most leaders are still using management techniques which were taught in the 1970s and developed for the industrial economy.

To a large degree, the current disconnect is to be expected. The Russian economist Kondratiev demonstrated that economies move on a particularly long wave of approximately 75 years. He postulated that this was due to major changes in technology which took a very long time to reach adoption, massive use, decline and eventual replacement by another important new technology. Initially, the technology is used merely to improve existing processes and speed existing competitive models as we have seen with computer technology. Eventually, the full impact of the new technology creates new methods of competition which obviates the old, ushering in new rates of productivity and new methods of growth. We are at this fulcrum today.

For decades companies have prospered through “Defend and Extend” (D&E) Management—establishing a Success Formula, then improving and protecting it against competitors. In the Industrial Economy this worked well because size, economies of scale, and entry barriers were important. But today, due primarily to the emergence of information transparency, Success Formulas are being duplicated practically overnight—robbing companies of their competitive advantage. Practicing D&E Management in this environment is a prescription for failure, and yet that is what almost every company, large and small, is doing. And how most leaders are trying to get ahead.

In the three year period ending in 2003, bankruptcies of public companies increased 855% over the three year period ending just five years prior, and for companies with assets over a billion dollars the increase was an astounding 1,750%. To reverse this trend, companies must turn conventional wisdom on its head. Instead of looking to their Success Formulas as the solution to their problems, companies must learn to see their Success Formulas as the source of their problems. Companies must embrace the Phoenix Principle and become both willing and able to reinvent their Success Formulas… over and over again.

In recent years, Adam Hartung met with hundreds of senior executives. Almost every business leader sang the same sad refrain: every quarter of every year is a brutal struggle to make their numbers. Most admit that they don’t really know what to do to make things any better—nothing they have tried has made a sustainable difference. Historical tactics, including mergers and acquisitions, extensive cost-cutting, streamlining processes, outsourcing, and various quality programs have made little or no impact on competitiveness.

Well-meaning but increasingly outdated advice from business gurus such as Jim Collins and Larry Bossidy to focus on execution and optimize the core business are only making matters worse. Create Marketplace Disruption uses The Phoenix Principle to rebut the “optimize and execute” message while providing simple but powerful models that explain why so many companies are struggling to such an extent. The author illustrates with many convincing examples and case studies how the inevitable consequence of D&E Management has been lock-in to outdated Success Formulas leading to worsening performance. This has resulted in a vicious cycle of cost-cutting and profit erosion, eventually leading to failure.

D&E Management causes managers to behave as if their organizations are exempt from market and competitive shifts which can make their Success Formula obsolete. Many managers cling to the myth of business perpetuity as a rationalization for their mature companies to use continuous improvement as a way to create, then maintain, above average returns—even when the evidence overwhelmingly indicates otherwise. The hard truth is that the techniques Michael Porter published for competing in the 1980s no longer generate sustainable competitive advantage. Entry barriers are now exit barriers, supplier and customer leverage are short-lived, and focus on product innovation and cost reduction is far less likely to create success than implementing alternative business models.

Business leaders must embrace a new model for managing based on The Phoenix
Principle.
This entails rethinking the traditional approach to organizational lifecycle management in several ways, including making profits in the growth stage, planning on very short periods of competitive advantage, and exiting businesses much quicker than before. The Phoenix Principle emphasizes leaders’ responsibility for disrupting existing Success Formulas in order to experiment with new and innovative profit opportunities. While agreeing with author Clayton Christensen on many points, the author confronts Clayton’s claim that established companies cannot compete against, nor implement, disruptive technologies. Instead, the author demonstrates a process whereby any organization can most definitely enhance innovation, growth and change, including installing a culture of continuous renewal through new processes and changes in the employee mix.

Create Marketplace Disruption provides readers with hope that even the most locked-in organizations can renew themselves. Through a four-phase approach backed up with solid examples, business managers will learn how to reinvent locked-in Success Formulas at the individual, work team, business function, operating unit and company levels. This book provides the vernacular and practical “how to” information to undertake the “Re-Imagining” recommended by Tom Peters. Additionally, the author introduces readers to breakthrough thinking, which is the ability to challenge and change assumptions at the individual level. Readers are given powerful tools for transforming Locked-in behaviors, and developing new solutions for today’s dynamic business competition in the Information Economy.

This book will help beleaguered business managers understand why their organizations are struggling, why their actions not only aren’t helping but are contributing to the problem, and how leaders and individuals can Disrupt and reinvent their Locked-in Success Formulas to generate significant breakthroughs in performance.

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About Adam Hartung

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Adam Hartung helps companies innovate to achieve real growth. He began his career as an entrepreneur, selling the first general-purpose computing platform to use the 8080 microprocessor when he was an undergraduate. Today, he has 20 years of practical experience in developing and implementing strategies to take advantage of emerging technologies and new business models. He writes, consults and speaks worldwide.

His recently published book, Create Marketplace Disruption: How to Stay Ahead of the Competition (Financial Times Press, 2008), helps leaders and managers create evergreen organizations that produce above-average returns.

Adam is currently Managing Partner of Spark Partners, a strategy and transformation consultancy. Previously, he spent eight years as a Partner in the consulting arm of Computer Sciences Corporation (CSC) where he led their efforts in Intellectual Capital Development and e-business. Adam has also been a strategist with The Boston Consulting Group, and an executive with PepsiCo and DuPont in the areas of strategic planning and business development.

At DuPont Adam built a new division from nothing to over $600 million revenue in less than 3 years, opening subsidiaries on every populated continent and implementing new product development across both Europe and Asia.

At Pepsi, Adam led the initiative to start Pizza Hut Home Delivery. He opened over 200 stores in under 2 years and also led the global expansion M&A initiative acquiring several hundred additional sites. He also played a lead role in the Kentucky Fried Chicken acquisition.

Adam has helped redefine the strategy of companies such as General Dynamics, Deutsche Telecom, Air Canada, Honeywell, BancOne, Subaru of America, Safeway, Kraft, 3M, and P&G. He received his MBA from Harvard Business School with Distinction.